Cincinnati's Depth Too Much For SMU

Sunday, February 12, 2017 1:52 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 12, 2017 1:52 PM UTC

We've got a handicapper on a serious heater here as Mark Lathrop has gone on a 12-1 ATS run on published picks for college basketball. Read on as he breaks down Sunday's most interesting game.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs  

On a 12-1 ATS run now in college basketball and waiting for the other shoe to drop, but in the meantime, I will enjoy the bankroll building up. On Sunday, we have a great matchup between the 1st and 2nd place teams in the AAC, as the 11th ranked 22-2 Cincinnati Bearcats travel to visit the 25th ranked 21-4 SMU Mustangs. SMU has been perfect so far at home this year, compiling a 14-0 record and a hot 8-1 ATS streak. These trends are not lost on oddsmakers, who have placed SMU as a 5-point favorite. The total on this game has opened at a low 125.5 on the overnight line at BookMaker.

The last 18 games for SMU only have one blemish on it, a 64-66 loss on the road to Cincinnati. They covered the spread in that game, though, going in as a 5-point underdog. SMU only used a 6-man rotation in that game, with all five starters playing nearly the entire game and well over 30 minutes each. Compare that to Cincinnati, who had 10 players see the floor in the matchup. SMU might have only lost by 2 points, but that was a minor miracle with the way the game played out. The Mustangs were down by 15 points at one time before going on a furious late run.

SMU is paced by 6’ 7” senior forward and Duke transfer, Semi Ojeyele. Ojeyele averages 18.2 points per game on a very efficient 33.4 minutes and 48% shooting from the floor. He is coming off a huge 30 point, 10 rebound performance against Temple, but was held to just 12 points in the last head-to-head matchup between these two teams.

Cincinnati’s team is led in scoring per game by another senior transfer, 6’ 9” forward Kyle Washington, who came from NC State. Washington averages 13.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. His performance was subdued against SMU in the first matchup, but he must have had some easy shots shooting 71.4% from the floor. Not far behind Washington in scoring, at 13.4 points per game is 6’ 6” sophomore swing man, Jacob Evans III. He had a terrible game against SMU the first go-around, going 1-10 from the floor and missing all three of his free throw attempts. I think it would be easy to say that Evans III could not shoot any worse in this upcoming game.

The leading scorer for Cincinnati in the first game was 6’ 8” forward, Gary Clark, who put up 18 points on 9 attempts from the floor. He even added 2 three-pointers in some rare attempts behind the arc. This is another example of the depth and flexibility of the Cincinnati roster that will create matchup problems for SMU on Sunday. For this reason, I’m taking Cincinnati to cover for my college basketball pick and will be looking for them to threaten to win this game outright as well.


Free NCAAB Pick: Cincinnati +5Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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