CBB Conference Tourney Finals: Two Totals To Increase Your Profit Margin

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, March 13, 2016 2:54 PM GMT

Our college basketball handicapping professional shares his top two totals on Sunday’s card. Go inside to cash in on these free NCAA basketball picks.

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Virginia Commonwealth Rams
St. Joe’s has made a nice run to the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament Final. Coupling that feat with their 26-7 overall record, and the Hawks should feel pretty good about hearing their name called on “Selection Sunday”. I do have some concerns about their defensive play of late. During their last four games, St. Joe’s is allowing 83.8 points per contest, and opponents have shot an alarming 50.4% from the floor. The Hawks have also averaged a lofty 62.3 field goal attempts per game during that stretch, and that equates to a fairly brisk pace.

Speaking of playing up tempo basketball, VCU has averaged a robust 66.7 field goal attempts over its previous three outings. The Rams squared off just once against St. Joe’s this season, and came away with a 85-82 road win. That game easily went over the total of 144.0. VCU hoisted up a massive 73 field goal attempts in that contest, and St. Joe’s had a pretty sizable 63 tries as well. The two teams combined to go a sizzling hot 28-46 (60.9%) from beyond the three point line.

This contest has a very good chance of being played at a torrid pace, and should be the most entertaining contest to watch on Sunday. The current total at the time of this writing is 146.0 per Bookmaker.

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NCAA Basketball Picks: Over 147.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas AM Aggies
These teams just played each other on 2/20 in College Station. Texas A&M won that contest 79-77 and it went over the total of 141.5. It must be noted, that contest required overtime to determine a winner, and it was tied at 68-68 after 40 minutes of play.

Texas A&M is a very good defensive team, and that’s especially been evident in recent games. They’ve allowed 69 points or less in regulation time during each of their previous six games. As a matter of fact, they held LSU to a mere 38 points, and a paltry 20.6% shooting in Saturday’s SEC Semifinals. The Aggies are a respectable but not great shooting team. During their first encounter versus Kentucky, they shot a poor 37%, and were bothered by the overall size of Kentucky.

Despite Kentucky going over the total in its last four games, in addition to averaging 90.0 points per contest, and shooting better than 50% on each of those occasions, the sportsbooks have made this a relatively low total with all that being considered. The last I checked, they’re not that gracious or generous.

I’m writing this article nearly 14 hours prior to the opening tip of this contest. At this present time, the posted total NCAA basketball odds at BetCRIS is 142.0. My professional intuition tells me that we’ll see a lot of public money bet on going over the total. It also wouldn’t shock me whatsoever, if this number elevates to 144.0 or more as we near tip time. If it looks too easy in sports betting, then that’s rarely the case. I’m fading public perception, and one of my NCAA basketball picks on Sunday will be further proof of exactly that.

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NCAA Basketball Picks: Under 142
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline