Cal Hosts Oregon State In Rare Friday Night Action

Oregon State Beavers player in action

Jay Pryce

Friday, February 24, 2017 1:59 PM GMT

Cal looks to get back to winning ways as it hosts lowly Oregon State at Haas Pavilion. The Golden Bears have dropped three games in a row and must win out to earn an advantageous first-round bye in the Pac 12 tournament. 

Oregon State Beavers (5-24 SU, 12-15 ATS)

Oregon State is playing as well as it has all season. It upset Utah 68-67 in Corvallis as 12.5-point underdogs just two games ago; its only conference wins this year. The Beavers also own a four-game covers streak, besting the number by 6.5 points per contest. What’s the difference? Defense. The unit has held three of its last four opponents below their projected team total.

It’s offensively where the team stinks. The Beavers own few scoring outlets with their best points-getter Tres Tinkle out since November with a severe wrist injury. They rank last in the Pac 12 in scoring (61.6 PPG), field goal percentage (41.9) and turnovers (13.9).

Forward Drew Eubanks (14.9 PPG, 8.4 RPG) has been a revelation of late, shooting nearly 60 percent from the floor, but the team is backcourt heavy and will have to hit 3-pointers to stand a chance. Sophomore guard Stephen Thompson Jr. is the team’s leading scorer (16.4 PPG). Oregon State is 8-2 ATS when he puts up more than his season average in a game.

 

Cal Golden Bears (18-9 SU, 11-15-1 ATS)

Cal is struggling to close out the regular season following a stretch in which it won nine of 10 in conference play. It has dropped its last three games by 13 points overall to Arizona, Stanford, and Oregon. Head coach Cuonzo Martin’s squad is in little danger of losing outright to visiting Oregon State, but the point spread battle will likely be competitive.

Forward Ivan Rabb, the 6-11 NBA prospect for the Golden Bears, is slumping, too. The sophomore is averaging just 10 points and 9.3 rebounds per game in his last three contests, well below his 14.6 and 10.7 season averages. The team is built around the dynamic big man, and he’ll need to play better in order for Cal to please its backers in the betting market. Rabb dropped 18 points on 5-of-10 shooting and ripped down eight boards in 39 minutes in Cal’s 69-58 win over Oregon State in Corvallis earlier in the season.

Cal has gone off double-digit chalk in the matchup five times in the last decade. The Beavers have covered everyone, never losing by more than 11 points.

 Oregon State Beavers vs California Golden Bears

Cal has tipped off as a double-digit favorite in Pac-12 play five times under Martin, all but one coming this season. It is 2-3 ATS overall, failing to cover its last three straight against Washington, Washington State, and the Beavers back on Jan 21. What’s more enlightening is that the Golden Bears have never won by more than 18 points in any. Martin, in fact, has guided Cal to wins of 19 points or more just four times in his career, and the game total was 146 or higher in each. The room is not there to see margins explode in this one. The Beavers and Bears play at a crawl, owning a 325 and 305 tempo rating on KenPom.com. Oregon State gets plastered, but keeps just inside the number. Beavers +18 is the college basketball pick for tonight's action.

 

Free NCAAB Pick: Oregon State Beavers +18Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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