Buffalo Outclassing MAC Opponents, Will Again vs. WMU

buffalo basketball

Mark Lathrop

Friday, February 2, 2018 12:42 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 2, 2018 12:42 PM UTC

A nationally televised MAC matchup featuring cows and horses plays out with Buffalo hosting Western Michigan on Friday night. Read up as our NCAA handicapper Mark Lathrop breaks down the game and gives us the best value on the action available.

2017-18 NCAAB Record: 27-21 (+4.60 Units)

Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo BullsFree NCAAB Pick: Buffalo -10Best Line Offered: Bovada

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This handicapper is glad that January is over, a month that had the bookmakers make market adjustments and bettors struggling to keep up. After picking up 7.85 units in November and a cool 2.40 units in December, there was a blood-letting of -5.65 units in January. February should be ripe for betting opportunities, however, with conference play in full swing and some teams getting a second look at each other. That is the case here as the Buffalo Bulls of the MAC host the Western Michigan Broncos in a nationally televised game on the CBS Sports Network. The first meeting had Buffalo winning by 10 points on the Broncos’ home court, and the Bulls have been placed as 10-point favorites in this matchup at home. The total has opened at 155.5 points across the board.

The Bulls are also glad that January is over, since it included their only loss in conference play on the year. The Bulls are coming off of a surprising 82-79 defeat to the Kent State Golden Flashes on the road Tuesday. That loss was the first for the Bulls to a team ranked lower than 82nd in KenPom's power rankings, as Buffalo had been beating up on mid-major competition. This loss can be directly attributed to some home cooking with the refs, though, as Buffalo shot better than Kent State from behind and in front of the arc, yet a 25-14 free throw advantage put Kent State over the top.

Buffalo also got into foul trouble in the first matchup against Western Michigan, with the Broncos getting 27 attempts vs. 17 for Buffalo from charity stripe. The Bulls got more field-goal attempts as a 43-35 rebounding advantage played out during the game. The four-headed scoring threat for the Bulls was in full effect for the game, as CJ Massinburg, Nick Perkins, Wes Clark and Jeremy Harris all scored 17 points or more to bring their double-digit scoring averages up on the season.

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.@ubmenshoops Returns Home To Face Western Michigan For #Operation6000 https://t.co/oo1W3IlEOb #UBhornsUP

— UB Men's Basketball (@UBmenshoops) February 1, 2018
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There were no outliers for Western Michigan in the scoring performance in the last game against Buffalo, as the leading five scorers for the season also were the top five in the game. The Broncos are led by senior 6’ 3” guard Thomas Wilder, who averages 18.5 points per game on the season – actually down from averaging 18.6 ppg as a sophomore and 19.2 ppg as a junior. Wilder’s assists are up this year, so he’s sharing the ball just a bit more.

I’m looking at this game as a bounce-back spot for Buffalo, as it can effectively put MAC East race away with a win over the Broncos. With their guard play, including Missouri transfer Wes Clark, Buffalo has a bit of a class advantage over MAC opponents. I’ll be laying the points with the Bulls on Friday night as my NCAAB Pick.

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