Bucknell Bison Ready to Stampede Colgate in Patriot League Championship

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, March 7, 2018 12:34 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 7, 2018 12:34 PM UTC

No. 1 seed Bucknell takes on second-seeded Colgate in a small conference clash that appears to be more of a lopsided affair than most top-seeded battles. Let’s check out the NCAA basketball odds and break this Patriot League title game down.

Colgate (19-12 SU, 5-1 ATS) at Bucknell (24-9 SU, 4-5 ATS)Free NCAAB Pick: Bucknell -8 ½Best Line Offered: Heritage

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  • Bucknell is 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
  • Bucknell is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Bucknell is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Colgate is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
  • Colgate is 5-5 ATS as an underdog over their last 10 occasions.
  • Colgate is 4-17 straight up over the last 21 games played at Bucknell.

Analyzing and backing teams in small D-1 conferences can be tedious. Many of the games do not have NCAA basketball odds attached and are therefore referred to as unlined games. However, in the conference tournaments many oddsmakers render lines even on tiny conferences like the Patriot League. Wednesday's final pits the top-seeded Bucknell Bison against the No. 2 seeded Colgate Raiders.

These teams have clashed twice this season with Bucknell winning both but covering in only the first contest held at Colgate by the score of 63-51 as five-point road chalk. Nearly a month later, on Feb. 12, the Bison held home-court advantage and the spread swelled to 9½ because of it. However, that game proved to be far closer than the oddsmakers predicted and Bucknell rallied from a 10-point deficit with only 1:31 to play, due in large part to the Herculean efforts of junior guard Kimbal Mackenzie. He bucketed six of his 11 points in the final 21 seconds, which included the game winning 3-pointer as time expired to seal a 65-64 thriller for Bucknell.

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It's Bucknell vs. Colgate for the @PL_MBB championship tomorrow night at Sojka Pavilion! #rayBucknell

Here are the particulars:https://t.co/SGFaL60VM9 pic.twitter.com/6zBAzyVr68

— Bucknell MBasketball (@Bucknell_MBB) March 6, 2018

In the conference tournament, these teams have dispatched their opponents with relative ease as Colgate buried seventh-seeded Lafayette 76-54 and easily covered the 8½-point impost, while Bucknell handled Loyola (MD) 83-78 but failed to cover as a 16-point favorite. In semifinal action, Colgate defeated Holy Cross 62-55 and covered the 6½-point spread by the thinnest of margins. Bucknell was clearly talking to themselves about their lackluster second half against Loyola when they went out and absolutely crushed Boston University 90-59 and brought home the bacon for all who backed them in their NCAA basketball picks as 12-point home chalk.

At first blush, this number might seem a bit steep considering that Colgate gave Bucknell all they could handle a little over three weeks ago. But that was about the best game the Raiders had played all season, and Bucknell was clearly not at peak performance. The Bison have three of the Patriot League’s top 10 scorers in forward Zach Thomas, center Nana Foulland and point guard Stephen Brown. Bucknell has averaged 84.5 PPG over their last four games while Colgate has averaged only 71 points per game over the same period. The Raiders may have a better defense but that will melt as Bucknell pushes the pace and extends their lead. Colgate will have to then try to trade baskets, and that’s where the Bison will run away with this one. Back the home chalk here.

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