Stay Away: Worst 10 ATS College Hoops Coaches Since 2015

Jay Pryce

Thursday, October 25, 2018 12:43 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 25, 2018 12:43 PM UTC

We’re gearing up for another lucrative NCAAB betting season. The best start to making money is to avoid picking these 10 least profitable coaches against the spread over the last three years.

Since the 2015-16 season, when the NCAA imposed a 30-secoond shot clock to speed the pace of play and increase scoring, these 10 current coaches have proven the worst bets against the spread.

Note: coaches must have played at least 50 games offered on the college basketball oddsboard, and are currently with the same program since 2015.

10. Dave Leitao, DePaul (40-50-2 ATS, 44.4 percent)

Leitao is just 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS on a neutral court in his second stint coaching DePaul. The Blue Demons are coming up 4.1 points shy of a 5.2 average line in this situation.

9. Richard Pitino, Minnesota (40-51 ATS, 44.0 percent)

Pitnio won Big Ten Coach of the Year honors for his 24-10 SU (19-13 ATS) run in the 2016-17 season. The Gophers went 23-39 SU and 21-38 ATS (35.5 percent) overall in the bookend years. Boom or bust is in the Pitino genes evidently.

8. Jay Spoonhour, Eastern Illinois (36-47 ATS, 43.4 percent)

Entering his seventh year coaching the Panthers, Spoonhour has pieced together just one winning season (2014-15), which included a CIT postseason invite, his lone tournament appearance. Scoring is the issue, the team averaging a paltry 65.6 points since 2015. Spoonhour’s squad struggles mightily against good defending teams, going 12-21 ATS (36.4 percent) facing opponents allowing a 43.3 percent shooting rate or less entering a matchup.

7. Danny Manning, Wake Forest (38-50-1 ATS, 43.2 percent)

Manning’s pressure man-to-man defense learned as an assistant under Kansas head coach Bill Self has proven ineffective at Wake Forest. The team allows 77.3 points per game on 44.6 percent shooting the last three seasons. Where the Demon Deacons burn bettors the most is in expected close contests. With a line in-between 8 points on the oddsboard, Manning’s men have failed to cover exactly two-thirds (17-34-1 ATS) over the last three seasons.

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6. Steve Alford, UCLA (42-57-1 ATS, 42.4 percent)

Alford has underachieved as head coach at the blueblood program since coming over from New Mexico in 2013. Don’t let last year’s Final Four run gloss over the fact Alford has yet to win a Pac-12 title, or progress past the Sweet 16 in any other season. His shortcomings are highlighted in his record against ranked competition, going 18-27 SU and 19-26 ATS (42.2 percent) overall. Since 2015, the record stands at 10-17 SU and ATS (37.0 percent).

5. Lon Kruger, Oklahoma (40-55 ATS, 42.1 percent)

Longtime Oklahoma head coach Lon Kruger has had a difficult time rallying his team outside of the Lloyd Noble Center the last three years, going 21-34 ATS (38.2 percent) in all contests away from of Norman.

4. Dan Earl, VMI (27-40-22 ATS, 40.3 percent)

Earl took over VMI in 2015 and slowed the team down from a blistering pace established under its former head coach Duggar Baucom. Hitting just 40.7 percent of its shots in the last three years, coupled with less opportunities, has led the Cadets to come up short of expectations too often.

3. Jeff Neubauer, Fordham (28-46-4 ATS, 37.8 percent)

The former Eastern Kentucky head coach underachieves most in non-conference games, going 6-15 ATS (28.6 percent) when offered on the board in non-A10 clashes.

2. David Richman, North Dakota State (28-51 ATS, 35.4 percent)

Richman led the Bison to a Summit League title and the second round of the NCAA Tournament in 2014, his first season leading the program. Since, it’s been a slow drip to mediocrity, North Dakota State winning 20, 19, and 14 games respectively over the last three years. In this stretch, it’s failed to cover nearly two-thirds of spreads in each season, going 9-15 (2017), 8-17 (2016), and 11-19 (2015) overall.

1. Joe Callero, Cal Poly (22-55-2 ATS, 31.2 percent)

The Big West Mustangs have recorded only two winning seasons (2011, 2012) behind nine-year head coach Joe Callero. The program is a cellar dweller the last three seasons going 30-62 (32.6 percent) SU and 25-55-2 ATS (31.2 percent) overall. Poor shooting is the problem, hitting just 40.6 percent from the floor in this span. Cal Poly ranked 285, 346, and 331 in field goal percentage out of 351 Division 1 programs the last three years.

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