Big Time Revenge For Underdog Louisville Against Virginia

Louisville Cardinals player in action

Monday, February 6, 2017 3:57 PM GMT

Are you contemplating making a wager on Monday’s nationally televised college basketball game between #9 Virginia and #6 Louisville? If your answer is yes, then this betting preview article is a must read.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Virginia Cavaliers

A couple of nationally ranked teams will square off on Monday when #6 Louisville travels to Charlottesville to take on #9 Virginia. There’s an opening tip time slated for 7:00 PM ET and the game will be televised by ESPN. The opening college basketball odds on Sunday 2/5 indicated that Virginia was a 3.5-point home favorite. At the time of this writing (2/6), Virginia has moved to anywhere from a 5.0 to 6.0-point favorite, and there’s a posted total of 126.0 across the board.

 

Head to Head

Since the start of last season, Virginia has gone 3-0 SU&ATS against Louisville, and all 3 games stayed under the total. Ironically, there were a combined 114 points scored in each contest, and that includes a 61-53 road win by Virginia on 12/28/16.

 Two Strong Defensive Teams

Louisville is allowing a paltry 62.3 points per game this season, and that ranks 12th nationally. The Cardinals are also 4th in defensive field goal percentage (37.8%), and 5th in defensive 3-point field goal percentage.

Conversely, Virginia allows 54.0 points per game which are best in the country. Furthermore, the Cavaliers are #16 in field goal percentage defense (39.2%), and their opponents have made only 31.9% of their 3-point attempts against them. Virginia has seen each of their previous 6 games go under the total, and there were a combined 121.3 points scored per contest.

 

Final Analysis and Pick

Louisville has been extremely impressive in their last 3 games, going 3-0 SU&ATS, and had a massive average victory margin of 34.3 points per contest. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are 7-1 in their previous 8 games and covered on each of those occasions.

On the other hand, Virginia squandered a 34-22 halftime lead at Syracuse on Saturday, and it resulted in a 66-62 loss. As good as Virginia has been this year, they’ve suffered 2 home losses at the hands of Florida State and West Virginia.

Finally, if you’re looking for some common ground then here it is. Virginia lost 88-76 at Pittsburgh earlier this season. Conversely, Louisville crushed the Panthers on their home floor 106-51 in a game played on 1/24. I’m taking the road underdog for one of my college basketball picks.

 

Free NCAAB Pick: Louisville +6.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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