Big Ten Tournament Value on Wisconsin and UCF Hangs at Home

Charles Stark

Thursday, March 1, 2018 12:44 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 1, 2018 12:44 PM UTC

The final week of the regular season is upon us and today we’re going to look at two live underdogs in NCAA hoops.  First we are to take a look at an early Big Ten tournament matchup when Wisconsin takes on Maryland, and then later we will look at Wichita State traveling to Central Florida. When we break these games down it looks to me like there is some solid value in backing the dogs.

Wisconsin vs Maryland

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Wisconsin +2.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

In their only matchup this year Maryland took care of business at home beating Wisconsin 68-63 about a month ago Oddsmakers have come out making the Terrapins a small 2.5 favorite in this spot, but for my NCAAB pick I will take Wisconsin plus the points. Wisconsin definitely has not played up to their normal expectations but I simply like how they matchup with Maryland across the board and I look for them at worse to take this game to the final shot. On the season the Badgers are shooting a respectable 45% from the floor and 34% from distance. More importantly though is recently they started playing much better basketball winning four out of their last six games, and their last loss was to a very good Michigan State team by just five points.

Maryland has been hot and cold all year and they are kind of limping into this game getting blown out by Michigan by over 20 on their own floor. Statistically they have been good on both sides of the ball but with both of these teams averaging just over 53 attempts per game I look for a slow affair that should go down to the wire, grab the points.

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Wichita State vs UCF

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: UCF +8.5Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

Wichita State seems to be hitting their stride right now as they prepare for the postseason currently on a six game winning streak. Odds makers have noticed and made them a big -8.5 favorite in this spot, but for my NCAA basketball pick in this matchup I will take Central Florida plus the points. This is mostly due to the fact that Central Florida, although banged up most of the season, have some nice statistics at home going from shooting 42.9% overall the 45.6% on their floor. Wichita State on the other hand though have struggled a little bit statistically when they travel going from shooting 48.3% overall to 45.2% away from home. Defensively is where I like UCF to hang in this matchup as they are allowing just 61.2 points per game which ranks third in the country, as well is currently allowing opponents to shoot just 39.4% overall which ranks them sixth. Although on the offensive side they are definitely less than stellar, defensively they should give Wichita State some trouble and make this game at least a little bit interesting.

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