Big Ten & Pac-12 Betting Value Found on Wisconsin, UCLA Tilts


Charles Stark

Thursday, February 22, 2018 12:57 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 22, 2018 12:57 PM GMT

March Madness is approaching very quickly and teams from the big conferences are trying to make the tournament. Today we will focus on the Big Ten and Pac 12.

Wisconsin vs Northwestern

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Wisconsin +5Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

A few weeks back Wisconsin loss at home to Northwestern 60-52 and odds makers have made them a five point underdog in this spot. For my NCAA pick in this matchup I’m going to back the Badgers to stay within the number as they seem to have righted the ship just a little bit winning three out of their last four games, including a big upset over Purdue. Northwestern is heading in the other direction losing their last four contests and I’ve a hard time believing they will win this game by more than the spread. Statistically Northwestern has not been particularly good at home going from shooting 42.3% overall to just 43.9% at home. As well, their three-point shooting percentage jumps up only from 35.1% to 36.8%. Wisconsin has definitely struggled on the road and their percentages across the board drop on the offensive end. However, they have been playing better recently and their defensive statistics improve when they travel like allowing 46.7% shooting at home compared to 45% on the road. This has been a tough year for both teams but I like for this game to go to the wire.

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UCLA vs Utah

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: UCLA +3Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

In this rematch, odds makers have come out making Utah a surprisingly very small favorite versus UCLA. For my NCAA pick I will back the Bruins plus the points because they have been playing very good basketball recently. UCLA has won six out of their last seven games so at worst I think this game has a shot to go to the buzzer. Utah has also played well recently winning their last four in a row, but I simply don’t like how they matchup with UCLA. On the season Utah has been very efficient on both sides of the ball, but UCLA is one of those rare teams where their offensive statistics go up a tick when they travel. The Bruins, who shoot 46.6% overall and 37.7% from distance, actually improve on that shooting 47.1% and 38.2% respectively on the road. What usually troubles me about UCLA is simply their defense. What we have seen this season though is a UCLA team that has improved on the defensive side of the ball allowing opponents just 42.1% overall and 34.5% from distance. Although Utah is not easy place to play, and this is a revenge game, I like for this game to at worst go to the final shot.

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