Big Monday's NCAA Basketball Picks Featuring Big 12's Top Offenses: Iowa State vs. Oklahoma

Jeff Grant

Monday, February 9, 2015 2:08 PM GMT

Iowa State and Oklahoma have two of the top offenses in the Big 12, but home court advantage will prove to be the difference in earning a point spread victory Monday.

Impressive Numbers
Oklahoma should be on every sports bettors list as a top college basketball pick due to its 10-1 SU record at the Lloyd Noble Center, as it owns a +21.6 average scoring margin in that situation.

The Sooners were expected to challenge for the Big 12 Conference regular season title due to returning four of five starters this season, but they’ve taken things to a higher level due to holding 20 of 23 opponents below their season average in points at the time of competition.

All eyes should be fixated on the junior backcourt duo of Isaiah Cousins and Buddy Hield, as they’ve combined to shoot 53.7 percent from beyond the arc in the friendly confines of this venue.

 

Commonplace 
Iowa State will likely attract a majority of the betting action as a road underdog due to being in the public eye in recent weeks, as it prepares to play its third consecutive Big Monday contest.

The Cyclones lead the Big 12 in averaging 79.9 points per game, as they’ve had six different leading scorers in 10 conference games, but the Sooners have the same type of balance offensively on their end.

Strength against strength will be on display in Norman, with Iowa State being No. 9 in terms of offensive efficiency, but Oklahoma trails just two teams on the defensive end in that category.

 

Difficult Schedule
The Sooners have done a great job in putting together a 16-7 SU and 13-8 ATS record to this point, as they prepare to play their nation-leading 11th game against a ranked opponent at tipoff time.

It’s important to point out that 15 of Oklahoma’s 16 wins have come by double-digit margins—often making the point spread irrelevant after 40 minutes of action.

 

Slow Starts
The Cyclones are shooting just 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 64.5 percent from the charity stripe in the first half this season, which is far different than their respective numbers of 38.0 and 72.2 in those categories after the break.

Iowa State must be competitive from the opening tip in hopes of improving upon its 3-3 ATS record as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points, as Oklahoma has covered the number in both of its opportunities as favorites in that range.

 

Prediction
The Sooners will simply outscore the Cyclones, as they shoot 40.1 percent from beyond the arc on this floor, while their opponent has allowed foes to knock down 37.6  percent of their shots from that area.

Oklahoma’s front court of Ryan Sprangler and TaShawn Thomas will also prove a tough matchup for Jameel McKay and Georges Niang on the interior.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -5.5 at Pinnacle