Big Defensive Clash: 'Under' Our NCAA Basketball Pick In California vs. Arizona

Charles Stark

Thursday, March 3, 2016 1:55 PM GMT

We are going to look at the total for this game as both teams shot extremely well last time out.  Will we see another offensive showcase, or will these teams step things up defensively?

NCCA basketball odds experts have come out with the total for this game at 146 at Bookmaker -110. Last time out both these teams shot extremely well against each other but for one of my NCAA basketball picks I will take under the total tonight in Arizona. This should be a much different pace with a premium put on defense.

 

California Golden Bears
Defensively Cal ranks third and fourth in the country in opponent two point and effective field goal percentage per game. The Bears are on a nice seven game win streak and could be a tough matchup for some teams come the tournament. Offensively they are one of the more efficient teams in the PAC 12 shooting 47% overall and 37% from distance. The total for the game is a bit surprising because neither Cal nor Arizona push the pace all that much and the Bears average just 56.4 field goal attempts per game which ranks in the bottom third of all NCAA teams.  They have been very good defensively overall and defend very well from the inside out ranking seventh in the country in opponent shooting efficiency and allowing opponents just 5.3 made three pointers per game which ranks ninth in NCAA basketball. Last time at home against Arizona they shot 45% overall but I expect that to drop tonight on the road as this will arguably be the best defensive team they have played on the road all season.

More Pac-12 Action Here

Arizona Wildcats
Arizona allows opponents an average of 72.9 points on the road but that drops to 64.6 points per game at home. Like most basketball teams the Wildcats are simply a different monster at home and I really look for them to step things up tonight coming into this game on a two game losing streak. Last time these two met they shot lights out at 50% overall 44% from beyond the arc and I believe they will have some success tonight on the offensive end. Still, even with the good shooting percentage I don’t expect the Wildcats to run an up tempo game as they average 58 field goal attempts per game which ranks in about the middle of the country. All things considered Arizona is an efficient offensive team but California matches up with them well on the defensive end despite the success they had in their last meeting. I fully expect both these teams to play great defense with that being the focus tonight.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 146
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes