Big-12 Teams Worth Laying the Chalk on as Monday's Best NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread

Steven Suarez

Monday, February 9, 2015 3:54 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 9, 2015 3:54 PM UTC

Which two teams seem to hold the most value on the college basketball betting odds board for a slow Monday? We've got our top plays inside.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils
The Blue Devils just absolutely crushed Notre Dame in one of the more impressive wins we've seen all season, so they're going to be feeling very good about their chances tonight against Florida State, in spite of the fact they'll be out on the road tonight. Odds makers agree and have priced Duke as a significant 11.5-point favorite on the college basketball odds board. The total is at 143.5 points.

The Blue Devils, as we know, just destroyed the Fighting Irish 90-60, the team's third straight victory. After a great road win over Virignia, Duke has looked sharp, so momentum is definitely there for Coach K's group.

As for the Seminoles, they've been pretty inconsistent, but overall they've been solid. They're 13-11 on the year and have picked up some nice wins over teams like Miami (FL) and Florida, so we know they can bring a competitive effort when they're at their best. They'll also have the advantage of being at home, and that's always a factor in conference action, when the action starts to pick up and the race for the top seed heats up.

At first glance we thought this line was too high for tonight's game, meaning we weren't sure Duke deserved to be such heavy chalk, but the Blue Devils have to be confident as ever right now and we've seen the damage they can do when on their game. If they get into a groove, they're going to be hard to stop, no matter the location.

With that thought in mind, we are backing a more talented Duke team to win big in this spot. Lay the big number and side with the Blue Devils to pull away at some point on their way to the cover.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Duke Blue Devils -11.5 at 5Dimes

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Later tonight we will see a great Big 12 battle between the Sooners and Cyclones, two teams that know how to put the ball in the basket with regularity. Iowa State especially has been one of the most efficient teams on the offensive end. We therefore have a high total on the board for Monday night's contest - it's currently trading at 148.

In terms of the spread, the Sooners are favored by 5.5 points at most outlets. They'll be at home, and they're on a nice run right now, having won four consecutive games. 

Oklahoma has been in the zone lately, and their last three home games have all resulted in victories. The Sooners are 16-7 overall and are a solid 7-4 in conference play, which has them third behind only Kansas and tonight's opponent, Iowa State. Buddy Hield has been one of the best players in the Big 12 and will look to guide Oklahoma to a fifth straight win here.

Meanwhile, the Cylcones have been a potent force this season, averaging 79.9 points per game, the 11th-best mark in all of college basketball. They also lead the entire nation in assists, so they know how to get everyone involved and are unselfish with the ball. Georges Niang is the main man for Iowa State and has been a matchup-nightmare all season long. With him leading the way, the Cyclones are sporting a 17-5 overall record and 7-3 conference mark. However, tonight will most definitely be a huge challenge.

When approaching our NCAA basketball picks, home-court advantage is the biggest reason we like Oklahoma in this spot. On the national stage, we're laying the chalk again, but this time taking the home squad. Roll with the Sooners tonight.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -5.5 at Pinnacle 

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