Big 12 NCAA Basketball Picks: Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, January 21, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Oklahoma State has owned Texas Tech when matching up in Stillwater, which provides it betting value as a double-digit favorite Wednesday night.

Doormat
Texas Tech sits in last place in the most recent Big 12 standings by dropping its first five conference games, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it has shot just 34.6 percent from the floor over that span.

This is the first 0-5 start in conference play for a Tubby Smith-coached team in his 24 seasons as a head coach, but it’s not that surprising due to the fact that he’s used seven different starting lineups through 18 games overall.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the program is a forgettable 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as road underdogs of 12.5 or more points, with the UNDER going 4-2 in six opportunities.

 

Don’t Panic
Oklahoma State begins the week with a 2-3 SUATS record versus Big 12 opponents, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA Basketball betting odds, but it has played a formidable schedule since the end of non-conference play.

The Cowboys are led in the scoring column by Le’Bryan Nash and Phil Forte, who are averaging 17.7 and 17.4 points respectively, while also receiving major contributions from shot blocker Michael Cobbins and assist man Anthony Hickey.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 16-0 SU and 11-4-1 ATS as home favorites of 12.5 or more points.

Check out another top-value NCAA Basketball Pick: North Carolina vs. Wake Forest 

Charity Work
Due to their ranking of 280th in the country in offensive efficiency, the Red Raiders must get to the free throw line at Gallagher-Iba Arena, as they have a 52.2 percent chance of reaching the free throw line on a possession.

Texas Tech is averaging 26.9 attempts per game from the charity stripe, which would be its most since putting up a number of 27.8 in that category in 1994-95.

 

Series History
The Cowboys have won their last 11 home games against the Red Raiders, which fits nicely with their 79-4 SU record versus unranked opponents at this venue under head coach Travis Ford.

Oklahoma State has won 55 of its last 58 contests when holding opponents under 60 points—an important trend to consider due to Texas Tech averaging just 56.3 points in true road games.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cowboys as one of their NCAA Basketball picks, as they’ve gone 38-13-2 ATS in their last 53 home games versus teams with a losing road record.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick:  Oklahoma State Cowboys -15 at Pinnacle Sports

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