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Bettor's Guide to Handicapping NCAA Basketball This Weekend

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Bettor's Guide to Handicapping NCAA Basketball This Weekend
Andrew Jones #1 of the Texas Longhorns controls the ball against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP

Next week March Madness begins in earnest with several conference tournaments taking place. Before then, we have other business to attend to like some great games on the college basketball docket.

With the later start of college basketball this season, it’s hard to believe March is next week and we will dive headfirst in the delightful aspects of the madness this time of year brings. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves, we have seedings of conferences that have to be determined and a couple more annoying weeks of Joe Lunardi telling us – who’s in and who’s out.

As has been the case all season, this article is posted before the entirety of the weekend college basketball odds are released and we do our best to provide an accurate line with the use of power ratings.

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, February 27, 2021 – 12:00 PM EST at United Supermarkets Arena

Texas Tech has lost three in a row and has not beat the spread in five tries this month. Chances are if they beat Texas at home, they will still be ranked. But should a team at possibly 15-8 with a win that currently has a 2-6 record against ranked teams be this highly thought of? Especially this time of year?

Texas would be on a four-game winning streak except for a giveaway last Saturday at home against West Virginia, losing by two in OT. Statistically, these Lone Star State combatants are close and, on the surface, the Red Raiders players seem tougher. Yet, they keep finding ways to lose. Taking the Longhorns with the points at top sportsbooks.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

Kofi Cockburn of Illinois.
Kofi Cockburn #21 of the Illinois Fighting Illini. Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images/AFP

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, February 27, 2021 - 02:00 PM EST at Kohl Center

Illinois got beat up by Michigan State this week, literally, in the most physical contest of the season in the Big Ten. The Illini didn’t handle it well and it not only affected their offense but concentration on defense, with the Spartans shooting over 50 percent.

Wisconsin will no doubt slow the tempo and look to play the same way to frustrate coach Brad Underwood’s team, after losing earlier by 15 in Champaign. One difference, the Badgers are weak defensively in the paint, where center Kofi Cockburn can dominate as he did in the previous meeting (23 points and 14 boards). Whisky can win this Big Ten battle, but we’ll side with the Fighting Illini to squeak one out even without Ayo Dosunmu.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

Malik Osborne #10 of the Florida State Seminoles reaches for a pass. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, February 27, 2021 - 04:00 PM EST at Dean E. Smith Center

So much for the resurgence of North Carolina, with their ugly home loss to a pedestrian Marquette club. The Tar Heels will certainly be more motivated to play better against Florida State who beat them by seven at Tallahassee.

We would love to make a stronger case for Roy Williams' team, but when a team can rebound with them, their lack of three-point shooting is exposed, averaging only five made 3’s a contest at 31 percent. With the Seminoles' depth, flexibility and 13th ranking in offensive efficiency, they win and cover a close one in Chapel Hill.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

RayJ Dennis Boise State Broncos
RayJ Dennis #10 of the Boise State Broncos advances the ball. Joe Buglewicz/Getty Images/AFP

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, February 27, 2021 - 04:00 PM EST at Viejas Arena

This is a rematch from Thursday when San Diego State won 78-66 as 6.5-point home favorites in overtime, thanks to a 15-3 blitz in the extra session.

The Aztecs have won nine in a row and are 7-1-1 ATS in this hot period. This has pushed San Diego State to the top of the Mountain West Conference standings, where they were expected to be. Boise State more than held their own two nights ago and just couldn't buy a bucket in OT. Look for the Broncos to make this tight again in regulation and get the cover this time.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

Adam Flagler of the Bears.
Guard Adam Flagler #10 of the Baylor Bears. Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images/AFP

Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Saturday, February 27, 2021 - 08:00 pm EST at Allen Fieldhouse

Baylor played like a team that had been off for three weeks, needing to come from behind in the latter stages to knock off last-place Iowa State by five as 24-point favorites in Waco. Oddsmakers at betting sites have to consider how almost every team that went on hiatus this month stumbled to a degree for a game or sometimes two.

Since February, Kansas is playing much better basketball and is 6-2 and 6-1-1 ATS, playing to their strengths and center David McCormack a force. If the hangover continues for the Bears they could fall. Nevertheless, they have depth and it’s hard to fathom they would have another team-wide off-game. For college basketball picks it's Baylor, at the lowest possible number.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

Justin Ahrens Ohio State Buckeyes
Justin Ahrens #10 of the Ohio State Buckeyes. Stacy Revere/Getty Images/AFP

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Sunday, February 28, 2021 - 04:00 pm EST at Value City Arena

Click here for our live NCAAB odds

Since losing four of five, Iowa has rebounded to win four of five. The change came from the fact the Hawkeyes' effort on defense returned to what it was in the first part of the season.

This is a terrific matchup with both teams in the Top 10 in the country in offensive efficiency and below average on the other end of the court at around #200 in defensive efficiency. Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa City 24 days ago, when the Hawkeyes were stammering. In anticipating the odds at You Wager or other betting sites, we were going to grab Iowa as the underdog, but they suffered two injuries to starters in a loss to Michigan Thursday and that takes us back to the Buckeyes for our Sunday sports betting.

College Basketball Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.