#Betting101: Should You Take the Blue Pill or the Red Pill?

Jason Lake

Monday, December 25, 2017 1:51 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 25, 2017 1:51 PM UTC

The Cornell Big Red and Delaware Blue Hens have both started the year at .500, but if Luck Factor is real Delaware should be the right NCAAB pick come Thursday.

Before we get to the hoops, everyone here at the home office wants to thank you for being part of all this; may the sphere be with you, and may you enjoy the best of the holiday season – whichever holidays (or lack thereof) you choose to observe.

Now let’s take a moment to review our previous NCAAB #Betting101 look-aheads. Three weeks ago, we had the Texas A&M Aggies as a potential follow based on their RPI. The Aggies have gone 4-1 SU and 1-2 ATS since then. Silly RPI. Next, we used the power of Luck Factor to identify the Miami-Ohio RedHawks as a possible fade candidate. Miami went 1-1 SU and 0-1 ATS after that, and yes, got creamed by the DePaul Blue Demons. And last week, we gave the Iowa State Cyclones the side-eye based on Luck Factor; unfortunately, there weren’t any college basketball odds for last Wednesday’s game against the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks, but ISU only won 55-49, so there you go.

Fight for the Blue and Gold

Hard to believe we’re already making the transition towards the conference portion of the college hoops schedule. Miami-Ohio and Iowa State still look like fade teams at this point, but the RedHawks don’t play until Saturday against the Ohio State Buckeyes (their last non-con game for now), and the Cyclones will play the Kansas State Jayhawks on Friday. We’ll have to cook something else up for your mid-week NCAAB picks.

How about one more non-con game before we hit the New Year? The Cornell Big Red (5-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) of the Ivy League have an intriguing matchup Thursday against the CAA’s Delaware Blue Hens (6-6 SU, 2-3-1 ATS), tipping off at 2 p.m. Eastern. The CAA plays a higher level of basketball in general than the Ivies, and in this particular contest we’ve got Cornell ranking No. 23 overall in Luck Factor on Ken Pomeroy’s efficiency charts (plus-0.122), and Delaware at No. 251 overall (minus-0.035). Looks like a good spot for the regression monsters to come in and help us out. Consider the Blue Hens for a small wager, and we’ll see you again in 2018.

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