Bet Villanova As Your NCAA Tournament Pick Since They Are Better Than Oklahonma On Both Sides Of The Ball

Charles Stark

Saturday, April 2, 2016 2:58 PM GMT

The first game of the NCAA final four has Villanova taking on Oklahoma. This a good matchup of two great teams but which one will make it as the NCAA Tournament pick to the final?

Odds makers have Villanova a -2 favorite like at Pinnacle Sports -108. For one of my final four NCAA tournament picks I'm going to back Villanova minus the points as I think they're just a little bit better than the very talented Sooners.

 

Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma averages 80.5 points per game which ranks 17th in the country and they also average 10.4 three pointers made per game which ranks fifth. Lon Kruger has done an amazing job with this team this season and it is not a real shock that they are in the final four. Oklahoma averages 42.8% from beyond the arc which ranks second in the country but Villanova has been good defending the three allowing opponents just 33.7% from distance, more on that below. This is a reason why NCAA basketball odds boards have Oklahoma as underdors in their betting lines.

As well, although Oklahoma averages just over 46% overall Villanova allows opponents to just shoot 40.5%. Up and down we look at these teams statistically Villanova matches up with them very well defensively. On the other side of the ball while I will agree with those people that Oklahoma is an underrated defensive team Villanova will be the best offensive team that they have seen this tournament. One issue that bothers me about the Sooners is that they allow teams to get off 62.9 field-goal attempts per game which ranks in the very bottom part of all NCAA teams. Against a very efficient Villanova team this could spell trouble.

 

Villanova Wildcats
Villanova averages 77.5 points per game and averages 56.8% on their two point shot which ranks third in the country. Villanova also ranks 10th and 14th in shooting efficiency and effective field-goal percentage respectively. Like Oklahoma this is a very well coached team and they pulled off one of the bigger upsets in the tournament by beating a Kansas team many people had picked to win the tournament. Like I mentioned earlier, I really like some the matchups Villanova has against Oklahoma particularly I like how the Wildcats have been defending from beyond the arc this tournament. 

Although they allowed the Miami Hurricanes to shoot a really high percentage from distance Villanova absolutely dominated that game and won by 23 points. What impressed me more was the fact that they held both Kansas and Iowa to under 30% from distance and although Oklahoma is arguably the best three-point shooting team in the country Villanova is very athletic and I anticipate them to keep this aspect of Oklahoma in check. Although Oklahoma might be the more popular team right now Villanova is the better one and for me the better play.

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Free NCAA Tournament Pick: Villanova -2 (-115)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada