Bet Underdog Arkansas +7 vs. Iowa State for NCAA Basketball

Darin Zank

Thursday, December 4, 2014 9:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 4, 2014 9:17 PM UTC

Arkansas hasn't made the NCAA tournament since 2008, but with a 6-0 start to this season (3-2 ATS), averaging 90 points per game, the Razorbacks like their chances. The Hogs shoot for 7-0 when they take on Iowa State in Ames as part of the SEC/Big 12 Challenge Thursday night.

Hogs-Cyclones Betting Odds
Most of the college basketball betting market opened this game with Iowa State favored by seven points, the total pegged at 161. In the early betting most shops dropped the Cyclones to -6.

Bettors who believe Arkansas might win this game outright could get a price of +240 on the moneyline on SBR's live NCAA basketball odds page.


Hogs-Cyclones: The Match-Up
Iowa State returns three starters this season from a team that went 28-8 last year, won the Big 12 tournament and made it to the second weekend of the NCAA tournament. They lost two guys (Melvin Ejim and DeAndre Kane) who combined to average 35 points and 15 boards per game last season, but added several transfers who are expected to step into productive roles.

Iowa State opened this season with a 93-82 victory over Oakland, but couldn’t cover as a 20-point favorite. The Cyclones then beat Georgia State 81-58, covering at -10, and Alabama 84-74, covering at -7. But ISU then lost to Maryland 72-63 as a five-point favorite, shooting just 30 percent from the field, making just six of 27 shots from beyond the arc.

The 'Clones then bounced back to beat Lamar Tuesday 96-59, shooting 52 percent from the floor.

Arkansas also returns three starters this season from a team that went 22-12 last year but missed the NCAA tournament for the fifth year in a row. At 6-0 this season the Hogs are off to a good start in their effort to return to the Big Dance.

Arkansas began this season with a 97-79 victory over Alabama State, but couldn't cover as a 24-point favorite. The Hogs then beat Wake Forest 83-53, covering at -13, then defeated Delaware State 99-71 in a game that wasn't lined. Arkansas then beat SMU 78-72, winning SU as a four-point dog, then beat North Texas 89-73 but couldn't cover at -26. Last time out, last Sunday, the Hogs beat Iona 94-77, covering at -12.

The Razorbacks only led by four points at the half Sunday, but pulled away in the second half for the victory and the cover. Arkansas only shot 41 percent from the field and 65 percent from the line, but held the Gaels to 43 percent shooting.

Last time out Iowa State started two seniors, two juniors and a sophomore, while Arkansas started a senior, three juniors and a sophomore.

These two programs have no recent history with each other; the last time they met came back in 1999, a 77-71 Iowa State victory.


Hogs-Cyclones Betting Trends
Arkansas is 3-1 on the totals this season, as the Hogs have averaged 90 points, while holding foes to 71 points.

Iowa State is 1-2 on the totals, as the Cyclones have averaged 83 points, while allowing 69 points per game.


Hogs-Cyclones, Statistically Speaking
Arkansas is shooting 47 percent from the floor this season, a sparkling 46 percent from 3-point range and 72 percent from the FT line. The Hogs are also holding foes to 42 percent shooting, while outrebounding them by about seven per game.

Iowa State is shooting 48 percent from the floor, 34 percent from long range and 75 percent from the line. The Cyclones are also limiting opponents to 42 percent shooting, and winning the battles on the boards by about six per game.


Injury Update
Arkansas has been dealing with a case of the flu that ran through the locker room last week, but they think they're over it. Still, one has to wonder if fatigue might play a factor in this game.


Hogs-Cyclones Free Pick
Mayor Hoiberg has ISU headed toward Big 12 contention, but this looks like a tough match-up, against an athletic Arkansas team. And for games we expect to be close throughout we like the idea of having a touchdown in our pocket. So for our free NCAA basketball picks we'll go with the road-dog Hogs in this spot.

Free College Basketball Pick: Arkansas +7 at BetOnline

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