Bet Nebraska to Cover as Dogs Against Wisconsin: NCAA Basketball Picks

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 10, 2015 2:55 PM GMT

Nebraska is a different team against Big Ten opponents at Pinnacle Bank Arena, which makes it a top NCAA basketball pick against Wisconsin Tuesday.

A Major Opportunity
Nebraska lands in a must-win situation in hopes of making a push towards a 2015 NCAA Tournament berth, as it enters with a disappointing 13-10 SU and 7-12-1 ATS record, but it has enjoyed great success against conference foes at this venue.

The Cornhuskers are 13-2 SU against Big Ten competitors at home over the last two years, with the two losses coming by a combined six points.

Sports bettors will find that the program has won and covered the number in its last five conference games in Lincoln.

 

National Title Contenders
Wisconsin has equaled its best 23-game start in school history in producing a 21-2 SU record, while its been led by Player of the Year candidate Frank Kaminsky during conference play.

Kaminsky is averaging 19.0 points and 8.3 rebounds versus Big Ten foes—playing a big part in the squad ranking first in the country in offensive efficiency.

The Badgers are one of the betting favorites on the college basketball odds to cut down the nets in March, but they’ve gone just 1-2 ATS when laying 6.5 to 9 points on the road since the start of the 2012-13 campaign.

 

Uncover the Basket
The Cornhuskers rank 321st in the country in shooting 29.5 percent from beyond the arc, but they can’t pass up good scoring opportunities from that area in this matchup, as the Badgers are surprisingly 273rd in defending the 3-point shot.

Nebraska’s 1-2 punch of Terran Petteway and Shavon Shields will need to lead the charge offensively, as they rank third and seventh in the Big Ten in scoring respectively.

Petteway finished with 27 points and knocked down 4 of 9 three-pointers in a 70-55 setback to the Badgers as 15-point road underdogs in the first meeting this season.

Head coach Tim Miles is surprised by the lack of offensive efficiency, as he welcomed back 81.5 percent of the team’s scoring from a season ago—a group that finished 109 spots higher in terms of shooting from the outside than its current position.

 

Charity Work
The Badgers are one of 14 teams that have made more free throws than their opponents this season, as they lead the nation with a +71 scoring advantage in that category.

Wisconsin will find it hard to duplicate those numbers in this setting, as Nebraska’s opponents have scored just 20.8 percent of their points from the charity stripe.

 

Prediction
The Cornhuskers have produced a 31-17-2 ATS mark in league play the last two-plus seasons, while the Badgers are a less-than-enthusiastic 14-15 ATS on the road over the same time period.

It won’t be pretty—but Nebraska will get the job done from a point spread perspective, so add them to your college basketball picks.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers +9 at Bookmaker