Bet George Washington +1.5 As The NCAA Basketball Pick Over Richmond

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, February 24, 2016 3:50 PM GMT

George Washington travels south to Richmond for this 7:00 pm ET, A-10 tip-off game against the Richmond Spiders. Tonight, let's see what the NCAA basketball odds say on this game. 

George Washington vs. Richmond (-1-) 7:00 ET
Earlier this week, I wrote an article about the Bubble Teams in this 2016 CBKB season. George Washington was a member of that ever-fluid list entering this week’s play. According to Joe Lunardi, they were just on the negative side of the cut-off line with qualifications that included a 20-7 SU record and an RPI of 50. With superior fundamentals, clearly the better record and experienced play, I believe there are a lot of edges working in the Colonials’ favor tonight.

Richmond, under 11th year HC Chris Mooney (a Princeton offense disciple), is one of the teams that has been negatively impacted by the new rules. The Spiders are no longer able to work the shot clock till the closing seconds. Nor are they able to impede the opposition with their grab and hold defense. As a result, a team who has won 19 or more games in each of the previous 3 seasons and ascended to the Quarter Finals of the NIT last year in a 21 win season, stands just 14-12 SU for the year with a 9-14 ATS mark. This, despite 4 returning starters and a projected upper echelon finish in the A-10. Fundamentals are at the heart of the decline with a defense allowing 74 PPG and 45% from the field and a team with a (-4) net rebound margin. The Robins Center has not worked to their advantage in league play, where they are 2-5 ATS including 0-3 ATS, if they are NOT favored by double digits.

 

Betting Analysis
Enter George Washington, a team who is likewise underachieving a bit. Though the Colonials are 20-7 SU, 9-5 SU in the league, they currently stand in 5th place (2 or more games behind league leaders Dayton, St. Joes and VCU) and they were expected by many to challenge for conference superiority. Clearly, they will have an edge on the boards tonight against their host. They have interior prowess in the persons of Larsen (12/8) and Cavanaugh (16/7), which gives them a (+6) rebound margin for the year. With veteran returnees at the point in Joe McDonald and the league’s best “do-everything, glue guy,” Patricio Garino, there is no reason this team should not continue on a 2-game win streak and make some real noise once the CCT starts.

The motivation of their “Bubble Trouble,” combined with the strong fundamentals and a revenge motive points out the Colonials as an outstanding play tonight. I invite you to put the NCAA basketball odds boards in your favor and join me in my NCAA basketball picks on George Washington tonight!

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NCAA Basketball Pick: George Washington +1.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline