Bet Dayton +3 vs. Stanford in Sweet 16

Jeff Grant

Monday, March 24, 2014 1:59 PM GMT

The Dayton Flyers have relished the challenge of facing BCS programs in recent years, which makes them dangerous underdogs against the Stanford Cardinal Thursday. We preview this matchup and offer our thoughts as to where you should look with your NCAA Basketball picks.

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA Tournament odds for this Sweet 16 matchup in the South Region, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET on CBS from the FedExForum.

 

A great start
Stanford is one of three Pac-12 Conference members still alive in the Big Dance, as it advanced past the New Mexico Lobos and Kansas Jayhawks to reach this stage. 

The Cardinal are certainly battle tested, with 18 of their 35 games this season coming against NCAA Tournament teams.  

It’s important to point out that the program is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven non-conference games.

 

Surprise package
Dayton earned its first spot in the Sweet 16 since 1984—picking up upset victories over the Ohio State Buckeyes and Syracuse Orange in Buffalo.

The Flyers held those opponents to a combined 3 of 22 shooting from beyond the arc, which could serve them well against a team that missed all nine of their shots from the three-point area last time out. 

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games on a neutral floor.

 

For starters
Cardinal head coach Johnny Dawkins has used the same starting lineup of Chasson Randle, Anthony Brown, Josh Huestis, Dwight Powell and Stefan Nastic in every game this season, with that group coming into its last game accounting for 87.2 percent of the team’s point production. 

Stanford has received less than 10 points from its bench in 20 of 35 games during the 2013-14 campaign.

 

Success against the big boys
The Flyers are worth a look as underdogs on the SBR Odds page, considering they’ve compiled a 24-11 SU record in the last seven years against BCS programs.

Dayton has won five of seven games in that situation this season, with both losses coming at the buzzer.

[gameodds]14/262642/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Flyers as one of their college basketball picks, as Archie Miller will benefit from his brother Sean facing the Cardinal in the Pac-12 as the head coach of the Arizona Wildcats. 

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Dayton Flyers +3