Best NCAA Basketball Pick Value Found in 10.5 Point Favorite

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, December 17, 2014 3:16 PM GMT

Pittsburgh is one of the best ball-handling teams in the country, which makes it a playable college basketball home favorite against Manhattan Wednesday night.

Early Struggles
Manhattan is 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS through eight games this season after making a run in the 2014 NCAA Tournament, which is important to consider when making your college basketball predictions, as it tries to regroup after suffering a 63-55 defeat to Rutgers as 2.5-point neutral-site favorites Sunday.

The Jaspers will be playing away from home for the eighth time this season at one of the most difficult road venues in the country, as the Panthers are 55-2 SU all-time in December at the Peterson Events Center.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS as road underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points.
 

Home Sweet Home
Pittsburgh is searching for its 27th consecutive home win against non-conference opponents, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college basketball odds, as it has won 87.8 percent of its games at this venue over the last 13 years.

The Panthers are starting to welcome back some injured players, with the main one being off guard Cameron Wright, who has played in just two games after averaging 10.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting last year.

It’s important to point out that the program has won all 15 of its contests versus teams with a losing record since the start of the 2012-13 campaign.


Creating Turnovers
The Jaspers need to create turnovers in hopes of turning around their 0-3 SUATS record versus teams with a winning record this year, as they cause opponents to make a mistake on 27.6 percent of their offensive possessions.

Manhattan is certainly up against it in this matchup, as it has gone 1-8 SU all-time against ACC opponents, while it has dropped both prior meetings in this series.


Playing Smart
Panthers head coach Jamie Dixon will have his team prepared to face the Jaspers’ press under Steve Masiello, as he faced off against that style numerous times when taking on the Louisville Cardinals in the old Big East Conference.

Pittsburgh turns the ball over on just 17.8 percent of its possessions, while it sits behind just 27 teams in offensive rebounding percentage, which could lead to a big number on the scoreboard after 40 minutes of play.
 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Panthers as one of their main basketball plays, as the Jaspers are 0-4 SUATS on the road this season.


Free NCAA Basketball Pick:  Pittsburgh Panthers -10.5 at BookMaker

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