Best ATS NCAA Basketball Pick Found in Backing Small Dog

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, December 17, 2014 4:39 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2014 4:39 PM UTC

Cincinnati and San Diego State are virtual mirror images of each other, which means sports bettors should back the underdog minutes before the opening tip Wednesday.

Enjoying the Road
Since the start of the 2010-11 campaign, San Diego State is 33-14 (.702) when playing on the road, which is the third-best mark of its kind nationally.

The Aztecs have dropped games against Arizona and Washington this season, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks, as those two teams have put together a combined record of 19-0.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 4-11 SU and 8-6-1 ATS in its last 15 opportunities as an underdog.


Quite an Advantage
Cincinnati has won its last 15 regular-season non-conference home games, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, especially since it has captured 108 of 131 games when holding foes under 60 points during the Mick Cronin era.

The Bearcats have put together a 23-1 SU record at Fifth Third Arena since the start of the 2013-14 season, while they rank ninth nationally in holding foes to 52.8 points per game overall.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 0-2 SUATS versus Mountain West Conference opponents.


Close Encounters
The Aztecs have attempted more free throws than their opponents in eight of nine games, but that trend will be difficult to continue in this matchup, as the Bearcats are 33rd in the country in fouling just 15.9 times a contest.

Due to being a defensive-minded team, San Diego State gets involved in plenty of close affairs, but it has put together a 37-12 SU record in games decided by six or fewer points since 2010-11.


Line Up
The Bearcats have seven players averaging five or more points per game, with the most important one to handicap being Troy Caupain, who is the team’s leading scorer in playing 29.9 minutes a night.

Caupain ranks among the American Athletic Conference leaders in shooting 85.2 percent from the charity stripe—a spot he’ll need to get to frequently in hopes of securing a victory.


Due to developing a handicapper line of a Pick ‘Em in this high-profile affair, I recommend that readers back the team getting points before the opening tip.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Underdog at Game Time

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