Back West Virginia +1.5 vs. Kansas State for Your NCAA Basketball Picks

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, January 27, 2015 2:19 PM GMT

West Virginia has been a moneymaker when facing defensive-minded teams this season, which makes it a top college basketball pick against Kansas State Tuesday.

Fallen Into a Pattern
West Virginia has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it hits the road after earning a 86-85 overtime victory over TCU as 9.5-point home favorites last Saturday.

The Mountaineers rank ninth in the 10-team Big 12 Conference in field-goal percentage at 41.7, but they’ve also managed to take 338 more shots than their opponents over the entire year due to their ability to offensive rebound and cause turnovers.

Sports bettors will find that the program is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS versus teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game on the season, with the OVER going 6-3 in nine opportunities.

 

A Major Advantage 
Kansas State has won 11 of its last 14 home games versus ranked opponents, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it has won six consecutive games in that situation.

The Wildcats have compiled a dominating 42-5 SU record at home under head coach Bruce Weber, including a 20-2 SU mark when taking on Big 12 opponents.

It’s important to point out that the squad has won both meetings in this series when playing at Bramlage Coliseum, including a 78-56 victory as four-point favorites last year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the school is 15-7 SUATS in January.

 

Key Player
The Mountaineers need a huge performance out of Big 12 Preseason Player of the Year Juwan Staten, who has scored 14 or more points in 36 of his last 43 contests.

The senior is the eighth player in West Virginia history to have 1,000 points, 300 rebounds, 350 assists and 100 steals in a career, while he finished with a personal high of 35 points in a 81-71 home win over Kansas State last season.

 

Don’t Give It Away
The Wildcats rank 296th in the country in turning the ball over on 21.6 percent of their offensive possessions, but they’ve committed just 10 giveaways in each of their last two affairs.

Kansas State will look to establish its own offensive tempo in this matchup, as it averages the fewest field goal attempts in the conference, while assisting on Big 12-leading 63.7 percent of its field goals.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mountaineers as one of their basketball picks, as they’ve gone 3-1-1 ATS in the last five installments of this series.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  West Virginia Mountaineers +1.5 at Pinnacle