Back Texas -4 vs. Baylor for NCAAB Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, February 26, 2014 1:49 PM GMT

The Texas Longhorns may be undervalued in the market due to back-to-back road losses, as they prepare to host the Baylor Bears Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for this Big 12 Conference showdown at the Frank Erwin Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU.

Streaking

Baylor is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS over its last four games, as it comes off a 88-75 victory over the West Virginia Mountaineers as three-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the fourth time in five contests.

The Bears are 54-3 SU when leading at halftime dating back to the 2011-12 campaign, but they’ve also won their last three games despite facing a deficit after 20 minutes of action.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 3-5 SUATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points, with the OVER going 6-2 in that situation.

Glad to be home

Texas will try to avoid a season-worst third consecutive loss, as it returns home after dropping back-to-back road games against the Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas Jayhawks.

The Longhorns have won their last six games at this venue, while they’ve also captured 18 of 19 games overall when shooting above 40 percent from the field this season.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points since the 2011-12 campaign.

Taking on the best

The Bears are 8-80 SU all-time on the road against ranked opponents, but they’ve compiled a 6-15 record in that situation the last seven seasons.

Baylor will be looking to avenge a 74-60 setback to Texas as 5.5-point home favorites in the first meeting this season on Jan. 25.

Controlling the paint

The Longhorns have a good chance of improving upon their 105-24 SU record in conference home games under longtime head coach Rick Barnes, as they enter this affair leading the league in averaging 6.1 blocks per game.

Texas will need another major performance out of forward Jonathan Holmes and center Cameron Ridley if it plans on sweeping the regular-season series against Baylor, as the duo combined for 22 points and 22 rebounds in the first go around.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Longhorns as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve covered the number in 11 of their last 16 games following a SU loss.

Pick: Texas Longhorns -4

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