Back Tempting Texas Plus Odds As Our NCAA Basketball Pick Against Kansas

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 5:48 PM GMT

The Longhorns are setup as a QLHG (qualified last home game) play as a greater than .500 home team with revenge in the underdog role. See my NCAA basketball pick on tonight's game. 

Kansas (-2) vs. Texas 9:00 ET
Here’s the situation: these plays are never easy to make, but if you had the “balls” to suit up with Seton Hall, Pittsburgh and Ohio St. (3-0 SU ATS) in their QLHG plays on Sunday, then you can make this play with a Texas team, who is playing better than any of those teams. The numbers below for 1st year HC Smart will add to your confidence level.

With Saturday’s (67-58) home court victory against Texas Tech, Kansas has clinched at least a share of the Big 12 Title for a 12th consecutive season. One more successful season and they will tie the mark of 13, set by UCLA 40 years ago. A victory at Texas tonight or in their home finale on Saturday will give the Jayhawks the outright crown for the 8th time in those 12 years. It did not always look that way for this year’s Kansas team.  

Shortly after the best college game of the season, a triple OT win by Kansas over Oklahoma, the Jayhawks suffered a notable letdown. They went 2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS before closing the season on an 8-1 SU ATS run to gain the Title. Last year, the Jayhawks were just 3-5 SU on the Big 12 road. This season, Kansas is 6-3 SU ATS away, including 4 consecutive wins and covers on the Big 12 road. This is a mighty task for Texas against a Kansas team, who is playing better than any team in the country’s deepest conference. 

 

Betting Analysis
Under 1st year HC Smart, the Longhorns have authored their own success story. Struggling to implement his “havoc” defense with the talent on hand and without the services of starting center, Cameron Ridley, for the conference season, Texas struggled through the early portion of the Big 12 schedule with a 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS mark. It left the Longhorns 9-6 SU, 3-10 ATS. Since that time, however, they have responded by going 10-4 SU, 11-3 ATS, including victories on this court against upper echelon teams, Vandy, Iowa St., WVU and Oklahoma on Saturday. Throw in a mid-December (84-82) victory on this court vs. N. Carolina and you can see why they are well-deserving for their 14-2 SU home record. HC Smart has always been at his best in revenge roles, where he is 7-1 ATS as PICK or dog when looking for payback! This season in Big 12 play, he has already avenged TCU, Texas Tech and Oklahoma on this court.

Get used to playing these quality teams in their last home game as avenging underdog! hey have a proven track record that has consistently turned out profit year after year. I invite you to put the NCAA basketball odds boards in your favor and join me in my NCAA basketball picks on Texas tonight.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Texas +3
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle