Aggies Get Revenge Against Trojans on Sunday Night

Mark Lathrop

Sunday, November 26, 2017 12:49 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 26, 2017 12:49 PM UTC

Our NCAAB handicapper, Mark Lathrop, seems to have a good handle on the non-conference matchups we've sent his way. Read on as he breaks down another marquee game and rematch of a great tilt in the 2016 season.

Free NCAAB Pick: Texas A&M +2.5
Best Lines Available at BETDSI (-110)

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In a rematch of a non-conference game last November, the USC Trojans host the Texas A&M Aggies on Sunday night at the Galen Center in Los Angeles. These teams played a thriller last year, with the Trojans winning as 6-point underdogs on the road and the 65-63 final score sagging well under the 142 total line. The line in this game is much tighter, with the 16th ranked Texas A&M Aggies as 2.5 point underdogs on the road against the 10th ranked Trojans. The Over/Under total is currently sitting at 151.5 points across the betting odds boards.

Revenge could be on the mind of the Aggies, who ultimately missed the NCAA Tournament last year. A signature win would be a boon to their resume here, and their roster is much the same as in 2016. The Aggies are bolstered by a potential lottery pick in sophomore forward, 6’ 10” Robert Williams, who is only averaging 22 minutes this year but is also averaging nearly a double-double in those minutes logged. He’s great on defense with high steal and block rates, but also a little sloppy and can get in foul trouble. Still, Williams is the third option on a very deep A&M roster with 4 players listed at 6’ 10”. They also feature a rotation with 6’ 10” big men Tyler Davis, averaging 14.4 ppg and 8.2 rebounds, and Tonny Trocha-Morelas, averaging 8.4 ppg and 4.8 rebounds. Not to be outdone they also have junior forward, 6’ 9” D.J. Hogg, who leads the Aggies in minutes at 33 per game and averages 17.2 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 3.6 assists so far on the season.

In my opinion, the Aggies have also played much tougher opponents on the year than USC has, with wins over West Virginia, Oklahoma State, and Penn State already in the books. They were 7-point underdogs against West Virginia in the season opener and ended up winning that game by 23 points. Their games against Oklahoma State and Penn State were as 4.5-point favorites and they covered by wide margins as well.

The Trojans feature a talented frontcourt of Bennie Boatwright and Chimezie Metu, who average 18.5 and 17.5 points per game, respectively. As a team, they have struggled shooting the ball though, and rank 142nd in the country with a 45.7% field goal percentage. They are also without their expected starter, De’Anthony Melton, who has been suspended under FBI investigation – a cloud hanging over the USC program at the moment.

In the end, I see this as a true toss-up game with one team getting points. For that reason, I will back the Aggies here in the revenge spot and take Texas A&M +2.5 points as my Sunday NCAAB Pick.

2017-18 NCAAB Record: 8-1, +6.95 Units

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