Add TCU +9.5 To Your NCAA Basketball Picks Against West Virginia

Swinging Johnson

Monday, January 4, 2016 3:48 PM GMT

The Big 12 is in action tonight as the Mountaineers, winners of seven straight, take on the Horned Frogs of TCU. Let’s see what the NCAA basketball odds are offering on this Big 12 tilt.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: TCU +9½ 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

West Virginia (12-1 SU, 6-4 ATS lined games)
The Mountaineers have notched five straight victories but have covered what the NCAA basketball odds makers were hanging in only two of those five contests. Their latest outing was an 87-83 double overtime victory over Kansas State on Saturday night but that four point margin of victory was not enough to cash for those who included West Virginia in their NCAA basketball picks as the Mountaineers were harnessed with a five point handicap.

Senior Jaysean Paige led the Mountaineers with 25 points and seven boards coming off the bench to contribute mightily to the gritty win over the Wildcats. Junior guard Tarik Phillip added 14 points and five assists but it was his tie-breaking jumper at the end of the game that finally broke the backs of the upstart Kansas State squad. Jevon Carter connected on both of his free throws with only four seconds left to seal the deal for the Mountaineers. West Virginia has shot 40 percent or better in every game this season and is 138-30 straight up under head coach Bob Huggins when they out-rebound the opposition.

Must Read: College Hoops Winning Strategies

TCU (8-5 SU, 3-4 ATS lined games)
The Horned Frogs had rattled off four consecutive victories before they tussled with Oklahoma State on Saturday night. But the good vibrations that TCU was feeling suddenly evaporated as they were outgunned by a talented Cowboys crew who dismantled them to the tune of 69-48 in front of a raucous crowd in Stillwater. TCU hung tough in the first half trailing by only two points but the second half was all Cowboys as Okie State outscored the Frogs 43-24 leading to the Saturday night rout.

Malique Trent and Chauncey Collins led TCU in their anemic offensive performance Saturday night with 11 points apiece and the bench, of which Collins is included, accounted for more than half of the points scored. The Frogs shot only 30 percent against an aggressive Oklahoma State defense and were a woeful 1-of-17 from beyond the arc. Offensively TCU has been challenged all season averaging only 70.8 points per game which places them 239th amongst 351 qualifying schools. Six-foot-ten inch sophomore Vladimir Brodziansky is the leading scorer for the Horned Frogs this season with 13.2 points per game but was held to only five points in the team’s loss to Oklahoma State.

 

Betting Analysis
West Virginia is 1-4 against the number over their last five games when followed by a win while TCU is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests when followed by a loss of more than 20 points, which is exactly what occurred on Saturday night to Oklahoma State. That said the disparity in scoring between the two clubs is vast with the Mountaineers averaging 86 points per contest which places them 10th in the nation while their opponents tonight score an average of just a click below 71. But that 15 point scoring gap may be mitigated somewhat by the Frog’s 65.2 points allowed per game average and could tip the scales in the underdog’s favor.

The issue here is whether or not a stout West Virginia defense will suffocate an already weak TCU offense and turn this one into a laugher? Let’s not forget this is an intra-conference game and oftentimes there is serious betting value with double digit home dogs in that scenario. In addition, the Frogs will be looking to redeem themselves after a lethargic effort in their last game while West Virginia may still be dragging only two days removed from their double overtime thriller. The last time these schools met was a year ago in West Virginia where the Mountaineers came away a narrow 86-85 victory as 10½ point home chalk. This might be a good time to grab the points with the home pup.