Add Powerful Duke As Your NCAA Basketball Pick Against Wake Forest

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 1:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 1, 2016 1:20 PM UTC

Head Coach Mike Krzyzewski and 17th-ranked Duke face Wake Forest on Tuesday night at Home in Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Tuesday night. Let's check the NCAAB odds.

Wake Forest vs. #17 Duke
Grayson Allen and the #17-ranked Duke Blue Devils (21-8, 10-6 in ACC) will try to rebound from a humbling at Pitt on Sunday when they welcome Wake Forest (11-18, 2-15 ACC) to Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham on Tuesday evening for this ACC affair.  NCAA Basketball odds makers have opened up Duke as huge 17-point favorites for this game (Bookmaker) here with the Total (Points) here opening up at 154 (Bookmaker).


Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest (11-15-1 ATS, 6-4-1 ATS at Home) and 2nd-year Head Coach Danny Manning were 10-5 SU at one point not too long ago in this NCAAB Regular Season but that game (and Win) on Dec. 29 against North Carolina State is now just a distant memory and the Demon Deacons (150/1 odds to win ACC Tournament, Ladbrokes) have gone just 1-13 since that game against the Wolfpack with Wake’s only W in that span coming against Boston College who is 0-16 SU in ACC play. In its last game, Wake Forest lost 81-74 to Virginia Tech on Sunday in Winston-Salem as Codi Miller-McIntyre (19 points), Bryant Crawford (16 points), Devin Thomas (10 points) and Mitchell Wilbekin (11 points) were all in double-digits in the Loss in which the Demon Deacons (#135, Ken Pomeroy Ranking, .5710 Pythagorean Winning Percentage) was a weak 4-for-19 on 3-Point attempts (21%). Wake Forest ranks 304th in the nation in 3-Point Percentage (31.4%) and a dismal 202nd in Free Throw Percentage (66.1%), so it’s pretty easy to see why this team has been losing so much...on top of playing in the rugged ACC, a conference which has recently added heavies like #11 Louisville, Syracuse, Pitt, Notre Dame and #7 Miami-Florida to its already impressive ranke ranks. Wake Forest comes into this game relatively healthy with no Injuries to report but only being able to hit 2 out of 3 FT attempts when you’re a scholarshipped college basketball player is an Injury in its own mathematical way.


Duke Blue Devils
The rigors of the Road in the new-look ACC and a very tough patch of scheduling caught up with Duke (13-13-2 ATS, 8-6-1 ATS at Home) and legendary Head Coach Mike Krzyzewski on Sunday when the Pitt Panthers completely humbled the Blue Devils in Pittsburgh, 76-62, holding the lead throughout and easily covering the game which was near Pick ‘Em at most sportsbooks at Tip Off. In the Loss, the Blue Devils were led in scoring by Grayson Allen (22 points)—who reportedly got a “stiff reprimand” for his 2nd Tripping incident of the season—Brandon Ingram (17 points) and Luke Kennard (11 points) but the rest of this Blue Devils Roster added just 12 points in a 7-man rotation where 2 Duke players didn’t even score (Miles Plumlee, Chase Jeter). The Blue Devils were just 18-for-48 (38.5%) from the Field in the Loss in which Pitt scored 19 points on 16 Offensive Rebounds. Duke was outrebounded overall by the Panthers by a wide, 39-20 margin. Up until then, this team had beat some very good and some highly ranked ACC schools (Louisville, Virginia, North Carolina), but winning at Pitt in that scheduling spot was always going to be a problem for Coach K and his “down” Duke (8-3 ATS L11) Tuesday gamesteam. The Blue Devils (+275 to win ACC Tournament, Ladbrokes) come into this game fairly healthy with only F Amile Jefferson (Foot) listed as Out for this game.


Best Betting Approaches and Series Trends
In the L10 meetings in this series, Wake Forest is 6-4 ATS with Duke winning 9 of the 10 meetings SU and the L3 in a row SU, covering ATS the L2. The Blue Devils have covered the L2 meetings at Home in Durham, blowing out Wake Forest, 94-52 in the last meeting as 17-point favorites (94-51) and defeating the Demon Deacons, 83-63 back in 2014, barely covering as 17½-point chalks. So, 32- and 20-point blowout Wins in the L2 here at Cameron Indoor Stadium with Wake Forest covering the previous 2 meetings at Duke as 22½- and 21½-point favorites. The Over is 6-4 ATS in those L10 meetings in this series with the Over 4-2 in the L6. Wake Forest is a woeful 3-14 ATS the L17 meetings here at Cameron Indoor Arena against the Blue Devils (17.6%) and coming off that tough and fairly humiliating Loss at Pitt on Sunday after going through a rugged patch off ACC scheduling with a 6-1 SU mark means that Coach K will have his boys ready to play and that the Cameron Crazies will be in full throat against a down Wake Forest (Under 9-3 L12 Road games) side, with the raucous crowd knowing that the Regular Season will soon be coming to a close and that there are only so many games left to be played on their sacred hardwood in Durham. Let's make our NCAA Basketball Pick now!

Backing host Duke (#13, Ken Pomeroy Ranking, .8975 Pythagorean Win Percentage) in the 1st Half marketplace when it opens seems wisest here—expect a number between 9 and 10—as the Blue Devils should race out to an early lead against the struggling Demon Deacons. When these two met at Wake earlier this season (Jan. 6), the Halftime scoreline was Duke 50, Wake Forest 47, so with almost 100 points in that 1st Half, it’s hard to imagine a slow pace and the Blue Devils should net around 50 again in the first 30 minutes of play while Wake Forest should end in the 32- to 39-point range with Duke clamping down on D and feeling better about its 3-point attempts on a familiar court at Home. And little things like that really matter, just ask a basketball player. Duke covered (DUKE -7½, 158½, Over) that first meeting on the strength of a 41-28 2nd Half. Also, Wake Forest will be playing its third game in two days after losing to Virginia Tech at Home on Sunday, so fatigue may play a part in the Demon Deacons start and overall performance, although that massive Point Spread is the great equalizer. With the Home team going an impressive 22-7 ATS in the L29 in this ACC series (75.9%) and Duke in a foul mood and at Home, taking a shot on the hosts may also be worth something, but maybe only half as much as the 1sr Half when at least you know they’ll be playing hard for all 20 minutes.

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Final Score Prediction: Duke 90  Wake Forest 67
NCAA Basketball Picks: Duke -16 & Duke 1st Half -9.5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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