Add Miami -7.5 To Your NCAA Basketball Picks vs. Pittsburgh

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, February 9, 2016 9:01 PM GMT

College hoop fans have a whole slew of games to spot on their NCAA Basketball picks today, including the much anticipated clash between Pittsburgh and No.12 Miami. Here’s a preview complete with our choice picks.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Miami -7.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Pittsburgh (17-5, 6-4 ACC)
The Pittsburgh Panthers boast a solid 17-5 record on the season and a modest 6-4 record in ACC play, two aspects that suggest they could be more competitive in this game than the market suggests. Indeed, it seems the public is buying what they are selling in the market with more than 50% of spread tickets record on the Panthers.

As it is, the Panthers are trading anywhere from +7.5 to +8.5 on the spread and +275 to +305 for the outright upset in money line betting. It’s worth noting the Panthers are coming off a 64-50 loss at home to Virginia and in their last eight games they’ve oscillated between a win and a loss in succession.

On the season, the Panthers are 17-5 SU and 9-10 ATS with a 12.8-point winning margin and a negative 0.4-point differential versus the spread. On the road, they are 2-2 ATS with a 6.2-point losing margin and a negative 2.4-point differential versus the spread.

 

Miami (18-4, 7-3 ACC)
The Miami Florida Hurricanes are sat third in the ACC and ranked No.12 in the nation coming into tonight’s clash with ACC foes Pittsburgh Panthers, a game the bookies are cornering in their camp wholeheartedly.

The Canes opened as the 8.5-point favorites at home on the NCAAB odds board and as the -360 home faves to win straight up at Pinnacle, but the market has come down on the Canes in both cases since early doors. At the time of writing, they are hanging on a 7.5-point spread and trading at -330 to win outright at Pinnacle. What must be the consequence of public betting that appears to be tipping the scape towards the Panthers – consensus betting polls record 55% of spread tickets on the visitors.

There are instances where the Canes remain as the 8.5-point faves (BetCRIS and Bookmaker) while others have gone down only by half a point (-8 at JustBet). If you’re looking to back the Canes on your NCAA Basketball picks, it’s prudent to shop around for the best NCAA Basketball odds

It’s somewhat interesting that the Panthers are getting the bulk of the tickets when the Canes rank amongst the toughest to beat at home with an 11-1-0 record at home that includes a 14.6-point winning margin and a plus 1.2-point differential versus the spread. As home faves, they are 10-1-0 SU with a 13.5-point winning margin and a plus 1.2-point differential versus the spread.

Most recently, the Canes are riding a two-game winning streak into this game and have won five of their last six overall games. The lone home defeat came on November 27 to Northeastern and, since then, they’ve reeled off nine straight wins.

Overall, Miami ranks tops in the ACC versus the spread with a 13-7-1 mark that includes a 12.4-point winning margin and a plus 2.3-point differential versus the spread. They are also tops versus the spread with home advantage: 8-2-1 ATS with a 14.6-point winning margin and a plus 1.2-point differential versus the spread.

 

NCAAB Betting Verdict
By the stats, the Miami Florida Hurricanes certainly strike a convincing pose, making it somewhat surprising that the tide of public betting drifts in the opposite direction. For our money, we fancy the hosts to come through on our basketball picks and we’re taking them as the 7.5-point home chalk with 5Dimes at the favorable juice of -105.