Add Iowa -4 vs. Indiana to NCAA Basketball Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, February 27, 2014 12:29 PM GMT

The Indiana Hoosiers and Iowa Hawkeyes have both struggled in close games this season, as they prepare to meet up at Assembly Hall Thursday night. Find out why our NCAA Basketball handicappers like the Hawkeyes to cover the short number tonight.

Let’s take a closer look at the college basketball odds for this Big Ten Conference matchup, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

[gameodds]14/259654/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Troubling time

Iowa has dropped back-to-back games for the first time this season, including a 95-89 defeat to the Minnesota Golden Gophers as 3.5-point road favorites Tuesday, while going OVER the betting total for a sixth consecutive contest. 

The Hawkeyes allowed the Golden Gophers to shoot 61.2 percent from the field—quite a disparity from their 39.8 defensive field goal percentage for the entire year. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 17-9 SUATS off a loss against a conference rival. 

Tourney hopes dashed

Indiana’s chances of landing in a spot in the upcoming 2014 NCAA Tournament have diminished greatly, as it has gone 1-4 SUATS over its last five games, including a 69-58 defeat to the Wisconsin Badgers as 10.5-point road underdogs Tuesday.

The Hoosiers still have a chance of pulling off an upset in this spot, considering they lead the conference with a +9.1 rebounding margin. 

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 4-8 SU in games decided by seven points or less this season. 

Watch the scoreboard  

The Hawkeyes have compiled a 15-0 SU record in games decided by double digits this season, but have gone 4-8 in games decided by a single-digit margin. 

It’s a troubling statistic given the fact that Iowa possesses one of the more veteran-laden clubs in the Big Ten—led by senior guard Roy Devyn Marble.

Dangerous home underdog

The Hoosiers are worth a long look on the SBR Odds page, as they’ve gone 3-1 SUATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points the last two-plus seasons.

Indiana has already tallied wins over Michigan and Wisconsin at this venue—two teams that measure up to Iowa.

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Hawkeyes as one of their college basketball picks, as they’ve gone 9-2 ATS following a loss in their last 11 opportunities.

Free Pick:  Iowa Hawkeyes -4