Add Florida +9 vs. Kansas to NCAA Basketball Picks

Jeff Grant

Friday, December 5, 2014 3:13 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 5, 2014 3:13 PM UTC

Florida has been inconsistent in the early going, which offers a proud program point spread value against Kansas Friday night. We look at the betting odds and let you know why we are backing the dog with our picks here.

Fallen Into a Pattern
The Florida Gators has alternated wins and losses over its first six games of the 2014-15 campaign, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it returns home after a 1-2 performance in the Battle 4 Atlantis.

The Gators knew this season would be difficult with just one returning starter from a year ago, especially since guard Michael Frazier II is shooting just 35.9 percent from beyond the arc.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 2-4 SU and 3-1-2 ATS as underdogs, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (3-3 Over/Under).


Quite a Response
The Kansas Jayahwks have enjoyed a 4-0 SUATS run since getting punched in the face in suffering a 72-40 defeat to Kentucky as seven-point neutral-site underdogs on Nov. 18, as it returns home after winning the Orlando Classic.

The Jayhawks captured their three games in the Sunshine State by an average of 12.0 points, with junior Perry Ellis leading the charge in scoring 19.3 points and grabbing 9.0 rebounds per contest.

It’s important to point out that the team is 3-0 SUATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points in its last three opportunities, with the OVER cashing in all of those affairs.


Gut Check Time
The Gators are going to find it difficult to win 20-plus games for the 17th-straight season if they don’t shoot the ball better from the three-point area, as they rank 271st in the country in that statistical category.

Florida certainly offers some betting value as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points for the first time since at least the 2011-12 campaign, while it has gone 25-12 ATS after failing to cover the number in three or more consecutive games in its last 37 chances.


Continues to Misfire
The Jayhawks are definitely one of the favorites to win the Big 12 Conference down the road, but they’ll need guard Wayne Selden Jr. to become a reliable option on the perimeter to achieve that goal.

The sophomore is shooting a miserable 26.5 percent from the field in 2014-15, while he scored just four points and turned the ball over four times in a 67-61 defeat to Florida last year.


I’m going to recommend that readers add the Gators to their picks, as the Jayhawks have gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus Southeastern Conference opponents.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Florida Gators +9 at Bookmaker

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