Kansas has failed to produce a profit on the road for sports bettors the last two-plus seasons, which provides value to Baylor as a slight home favorite Wednesday.
Start Me Up
Kansas has won 23-straight conference openers dating back to the 1991-92 season, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball predictions, as it looks to build off finishing non-conference play with victories over Kent State and UNLV.
The Jayhawks are always considered one of the favorites to capture the Big 12 Conference regular season title, as they’ve accomplished that feat the last 10 years. It’s important to point out that the program has compiled a 21-4 SU overall record in this series, but two of those losses have come within the last five meetings.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 13-10 SU and 9-14 ATS on the road, with the UNDER going 11-8 in that situation.
Baylor has covered the number in its last four contests following a setback, which is important to consider when looking over the college basketball odds, as it ended up on the losing end of a 73-63 decision to the Oklahoma Sooners as seven-point road underdogs last Saturday.
Prior to allowing a season-high 73 points last time out, the Bears had held their previous 12 opponents to 66 or fewer points—the longest such streak of its kind for the school since 1950. Despite having a roster that ranks 150th in terms of experience, the team ranks 14th in the country in holding foes to an average of 56.1 points. Sports bettors will find that the group has gone 8-9 SU and 4-10 ATS in January since the start of the 2012-13 campaign.
The Jayhawks are counting on Frank Mason III to lead the way offensively, as he ranks second on the team in scoring, but he’s averaged 17.3 points and connected on 55.3 percent of his shots over the last three games.
Mason’s knocking down 51.4 percent of his attempts from beyond the arc on the season, but he’ll have a hard time reaching that type of number in this matchup, as Baylor has held opponents to 27.2 percent shooting from that area at the Ferrell Center.
Send It Back
The Bears don’t have the type of effective height that they’ve had in the past, but they’s still managed to block shots on 12.7 of their opponents possessions through 13 games. Baylor has a chance of duplicating that number against a smaller-than-normal Kansas squad, as it ranks 326th in the country in terms of getting its shots sent back on the offensive end.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bears as one of their NCAA Basketball picks, as they’ve gone 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games, while the Jayhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games versus a team with a winning home record.
Free College Basketball Pick: Baylor Bears -2 at Pinnacle Sports