ACC Duels Offer Pair of Totals Picks Sunday: NCAAB Picks

Jay Pryce

Sunday, January 21, 2018 1:14 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 21, 2018 1:14 PM UTC

A pair of ACC totals picks offer value in college hoops Sunday. Which way will the final score fall against the number in Boston College at Louisville and No. 25 Miami (FL) at N.C. State? Our bets and predictions this way.

Boston College at Louisville (-10)

Boston College (13-6 SU, 7-6 ATS) heads to Louisville (14-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) seeking its 14th win on the season, which will be the second most in a campaign in the last seven years. The Eagles went 16-17 SU in 2012. Don’t expect a victory here with B.C. catching 10 points on the college basketball oddsboard, but the offense is strong enough to at least make it interesting.

The Eagles enter with the 73rd most efficient scoring team in the country according to KenPom. They field the ACC’s top scorer with guard Jerome Robinson, averaging 23.3 points in six conference matchups. He’s not the only points threat for coach Jim Christian. In the last 10 games, guards Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman are averaging 16.8 and 15.7 points respectively. Along with Robinson, the backcourt trio account for 69.6 percent of the team’s offensive production in this span.

The points are coming against some strong defenses, too. The Eagles have tipped off underdogs five times against team yielding fewer than 70 points a contest, including Virginia, Texas Tech, Clemson, and Providence. They are shooting 45.4 percent from the floor in these contests.

The issue is B.C. will be unable to slow the more talented Cards. Louisville tends to put the hurt on the less talented program year after year, winning by 21.3 points per game in the last three meetings. The Cards, which most associate with strong defense, put up 81, 79, and 90 points in the wins. That’s an 83.3 average, almost identical to the number (82.0) the Cards post as home favorites in 2017. Look for these two to combine for more than the 145.5 over/under currently offered.

Free Picks: OVER the Total
Best Line is 144-5 at Bet Online

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No. 25 Miami (-1.5) at N.C. State

Miami (13-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) is headed the wrong way entering its intriguing clash against N.C. State (13-6 SU, 6-6 ATS).The team reached No. 6 in the AP Top 25 poll after a 10-0 start but has dropped three of five since beginning ACC play. Last time out, they fell 83-75 to Duke, squandering a 13-point second half lead. Prior to that, they lost 72-63 at Clemson. The Wolfpack, 3-3 in league play, beat the Blue Devils and Tigers.

There is Strength in the Pack!

Thank you #WPN for your support at @PNCArena to start ACC play. 3-0 home start in the toughest conference in America. We'll need you Sunday when 25th-ranked Miami comes to town.

— NC State Men's Bball (@PackMensBball) January 19, 2018

N.C. State is a high-powered offense under new coach Kevin Keatts. The former UNC-Wilmington head plays fast and encourages the 3-point shot. He runs a four-around-one offense, which operates to space the floor by utilizing spread pick-and-rolls with his best big man. That would be 7-foot-0 Turkish center Omer Urtseven this year. The sophomore averages 12.8 points per game, one of four players posting double figures in scoring.

The Pack average 88.9 points per game at PNC Arena, going 12-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in the building. In games hitting the board, the number dips to 84.8 per tilt. Nonetheless, they haven’t faced a defense as high-class as Miami. The Canes rank sixth in adjusted efficiency nationally, surrendering just 64.7 points per game on 39.6 percent shooting in those listed in the betting market. Miami controls the game and pulls out a close one 72-68. Lay the points and lean ‘under'.

Free Picks: Miami -1
Best Lines is at Bookmaker

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