ACC Basketball Picks: Grab The Points With Wake Forest vs. NC State

Charles Stark

Tuesday, March 8, 2016 12:35 PM GMT

Earlier in the season Wake Forest beat NC State at home by three points and then later loss to them by 11 on the road. NCAA basketball odds makers have made the Wolfpack the favorite.

NCAA basketball odds experts have come out making Wake Forest a +4.5 underdog like at Pinnacle Sports -106. Considering the overall standings between these two teams it makes sense for North Carolina State to be favored. However, for my NCAA basketball picks today I will grab the points with Wake Forest.

 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest allows opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field, but in their last game against North Carolina State they allowed the Wolfpack to shoot 50% from the floor. Wake Forest has struggled a lot this season but there are a few things like about this team and they have been competitive in a lot of their losses. They matchup really well with a young North Carolina State team and I really expect this game to go down to the wire. Last time out when they matched up across the board statistically it was a really even game but Wake Forest was tagged for 32 personal files compared to the Wolfpack at just 18. This led to North Carolina State going to the line a ridiculous 45 times. I don't expect that to happen again tonight and I also don't expect for Wake Forest to allowed North Carolina State to shoot 50% overall and 40% from beyond the arc. Danny Manning is a decent head coach despite their record and he will have his team ready to compete until the final buzzer.

 

North Carolina State Wolfpack
North Carolina State averages over 60 field-goal attempts per game, but rank in the bottom defending beyond the arc allowing opponents to shoot 37.3% from distance. This team is pretty young and like Wake Forest they have been competitive for the most part despite their record. What could be a little disconcerting is how poorly they played their last home game of the year barely beating a very poor Boston College team. Statistically this team has a lot of similarities with Wake Forest but except for shooting percentage beyond the arc they are not as good as the Demon Deacons percentagewise in shooting efficiency, effective field-goal percentage, as well as two and overall shooting percentage. Defensively they are also not all that much different and they are only slightly better rebounding the ball ranking 31st in the country in total rebounds per game. However, there is nothing that tells me this is going to be an easy win for North Carolina State so I will gladly grab the points going against them.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Wake Forest +5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline