A Pair of Beatable Totals Lines On Tap For College Basketball Saturday

Jay Pryce

Saturday, November 18, 2017 1:22 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 18, 2017 1:22 PM UTC

A pair of ‘over/under’ wagers is on tap for our best college basketball picks on Saturday. See what bets we are placing in this pair of highly competitive matchups: Oakland at Toledo and Texas-Arlington at BYU

Oakland at Toledo (Pick ‘em)

Horizon League favorite Oakland clashes with MAC powerhouse Toledo at Savage Arena in one of the most competitive college basketball matchups Saturday. The tilt features two seasoned teams that can score in bunches. For the Rockets, forward Tre’Shaun Fletcher is emerging as head coach Tod Kawalczyk’s primary force. The senior transfer from Colorado is one of a trio scoring better than 20.0 points per game (Jaelan Sanford, 22.0; Nate Navigato, 20.0). In case you need some visual proof of Fletcher’s dynamic game, here are some top highlights from his 2016 campaign at the Buffaloes:

Former camper Tre Fletcher's junior year highlights ??! Good luck at Toledo! https://t.co/L0kejyWWz3

— College Prep Camp (@NBCCollegePrep) August 23, 2016

Oakland, meanwhile, is one of just 16 teams nationally to return more than 70 percent of its scoring and rebounds from last year. It’s a pair of transfer guards, however, putting up the most points: Kendrick Nunn (30.0, Illinois) and Martez Walker (22.0, Texas). Each team is 2-0 to begin the year with the Rockets averaging 85.0 points per game and the Golden Grizzlies 86.0 per contest.

Kowalczyk wanted Toledo shooting more 3-pointers this year. So far, so good. The team is 21-of-51 from behind the arc, sinking a conference-high 41.2 percent. Its 14 treys in a season-opening 98-87 win over St. Joseph’s rank third most in program history. Longtime Oakland head coach Greg Kampe teaches his squads to guard the coveted area like their home. The Golden Grizzlies owned the 34th best opponent 3-point rate last season, yielding just 32.0 percent. They’re matching the number through a pair of games this year with opponents going 8-of-25 from behind the arc.

Look for Oakland to handle Toledo’s perimeter game and keep scoring down. These two have clashed five times in the last decade, combining for more than the opening 160 game total just once. The last meeting was in 2015 where the Golden Grizzlies won 76-64 as 5.5-point underdogs. Oddsmakers expected a barnburner in that one, but the tally ended up 29.5 points below a 169.5 ‘over/under' betting lines Kampe’s defense holds the Rockets to 43.9 percent shooting in the five meetings. Pick ‘under’ for your best bet here. Oakland wins a close one 77-75.

Free NCAAB Picks: UNDER 160
Best Lines Available at Heritage

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Texas-Arlington at BYU (-6.5)

BYU wants this game badly. The program’s last loss was to UT-Arlington, 105-89 at Marriott Center in the first round of the NIT last season. The Cougars are 2-0 to begin the year, impressing with a 65-56 win at Princeton on Wednesday. BYU tipped off 3.5-point underdogs for the game, covering the spread by an impressive 12.5 points. The team is committed to defense in 2017, as evident by their 58.5 opponent scoring average. It has held Mississippi Valley State and the Tigers to 37.5 and 37.7 percent shooting respectively. The Mavericks hit 55.3 percent from the floor in the NIT send-off.

UT-Arlington is a tough matchup for anyone. The team won 27 games last season under 11-year head coach Scott Cross and pundits believe this bunch can go dancing for just the second time in school history (2008).  It starts five seniors and fields a pair of 7-footers: Virginia Tech transfer Johnny Hamilton and Link Kabayundi. The team can score a ton of points. Its one-two punch of forwards Kevin Hervey and guard Erick Neal is one of the best in the country. Nevertheless, Cross is emphasizing defense this season to get over the hump and win the one-bid Sun Belt conference.

This is a high-pace matchup with each team ranked in the top-40 in tempo. BYU will definitely reach 80-plus points. In the last decade, all but one of UT-Arlington’s opponents have in the seven road games with an ‘over/under’ greater than 160 points (88.4 avg). How close the Mavs keep it will determine the winner of a totals wager. The Cougars defense does just enough to avenge last year’s blowout loss. Your college foorball Pick ‘under’ 163.5. BYU wins 85-77.

Free NCAAB Picks: UNDER 163.5
Best Lines Available at Heritage

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