#21 Seton Hall to get Blasted by Butler: NCAA Basketball Free Picks

Kevin Stott

Saturday, January 6, 2018 12:25 PM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 6, 2018 12:25 PM UTC

#21 Seton Hall at Butler on Saturday, Bulldogs 9-2 ATS L11 Games at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Desi Rodriguez and Seton Hall take a 4-game winning streak into Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Saturday afternoon to face Jelan Martin, Paul Jorgensen and Butler in a Big East Conference showdown.

Saturday NCAA Basketball Picks: Butler -2½
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Saturday, January 6, 2018—NCAA Basketball Odds Overview

#21 Seton Hall at Butler (FS1, 2:30 pm EST/11:30 am PST): Number 21-ranked Seton Hall (13-2 SU, 7-8 SU) travels to Indianapolis and historic Hinkle Fieldhouse to face Kelan Martin and Butler (12-4 SU, 8-7 ATS), in a nice Big East Conference showdown on Saturday afternoon. Late Friday afternoon, line-originating Offshore sportsbooks opened up Butler as small 1½-point Favorites (BetOnline) over the visiting Pirates. Seton Hall heads into the game on a 4-game Winning Streak while Butler lost its last outing at #4 Xavier on Tuesday night.

#21 Seton Hall Pirates

Upstart Seton Hall (+8125 to win NCAA Basketball championship, Heritage) and 9th-year Head Coach Kevin Willard have gotten off to a really nice start this season with the Pirates 2 Losses SU coming to Rhode Island by 1 point (75-74) in November and to Big Ten side Rutgers, 71-65 in Piscataway in December with impressive Wins against Indiana (84-68), then-#22 Texas Tech (89-79), then-#17 Louisville (79-77) and then-#25 Creighton (90-84) on the swashbuckling, eyepatch-wearing résumé already. Arrrrrgh. More parrot droppings on me shoulder, matey. In its last game, Seton Hall defeated St. John’s, 75-70 at Home at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ, failing to cover ATS as 11-point Favorites (150) in the Pirates 4th straight Win SU. Khadeen Carrington (24 points), SF Desi Rodriguez (23 points), Myles Powell (16 points) and Angel Delgado (12 points) were all in double-digits for Seton Hall which was shot only 42.1% from the Field (FGs), but a healthy 44.8% (13-for-29) on their 3-Point Attempts and emerged victorious despite committing 17 TOs and having just those four Starters accounting for all 75 of the Pirates points. Danger Will Robinson.

Having Rodriguez (18.6 ppg), Powell (14.7 ppg), Carrington (14.1 ppg) and Delgado (13.5 ppg) all able to score is a real nice thing for Head Coach Willard and Seton Hall (#20 Pomeroy ranking), but when your next highest Scorer (Michael Nzei) is averaging just 5.8 ppg and you committed 17 TOs and got 0 points from your Bench in your last game—at Home no less—the sentiment here is that this team is pretty lucky to be ranked (for now) and could possibly get their Pirate-y lunches handed to them in Naptown on Saturday. Seton Hall is just 1-4 ATS in its L5 games overall.

Butler Bulldogs

Seeing Butler (500/1 to win 2018 NCAA Championship, WagerWeb) at 500/1 to win the 2018 NCAA basketball championship seems off, but Head Coach Lavall Jordan and the Bulldogs have lost 4 times already—Maryland, Texas, Purdue and Xavier—and the (Futures Book) odds market we look at , talk about, write about and all wager into is also dictated by the Laws of Supply and Demand, so, nobody bets on Butler to win it all, the odds rise, and you see a 500/1 all of a sudden. In their last game on Tuesday night at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati—say that fast five times and a dwarf with 6-pack of Heineken may show up—Butler lost to #4 Xavier, 86-79 (155½) in a game which saw the visitors shoot 8 Free Throws while to hosts attempted 37 in a game decided by 7 points. Hello. (Hello.) Is there anybody in there? Just nod if you can hear me.

In the Big East setback, Butler (#37 Pomeroy ranking) was led in scoring by Kamar Baldwin (28 points) and Kelan Martin (25 points) with Paul Jorgensen (10 points) the only other Bulldogs player in double-digits in a game Butler failed to cover by ½ point. Butler went just 7-for-27 from long range (25.9%), but remember this is a team—like most in College Hoops—which shoot much better at Home because of “feel,” normal sightlines and Confidence gained from nice runs and a raucous crowd. When you feel good and can see the basket clearly, the ball usually goes in more. Jorgensen (1-7), Baldwin (1-5) and Martin (1-5) went a combined 3-for-17 in the previous Road date at Georgetown.

Looking at some of the recent and relevant Trends for the Saturday game Matchups at Covers.com, we see that Butler is a profitable 9-2 ATS the L11 Home games at Hinkle Fieldhouse, 8-1 ATS the L9 games against Seton Hall, 5-1 ATS the L6 Saturday games as well as 5-1 ATS its L6 Home games and 15-5-1 ATS the L21 Following an ATS Loss. Breathe. The Over is 10-4 the L14 Saturday games for the Bulldogs, 5-0 their L5 Home games and 8-2 the L10 encounters within its Big East Conference after last Saturday’s upset and Over against Villanova, 5-0 the L5 at Home and Butler has played 8 consecutive Overs overall heading in.

Expect Butler to Get Many More FT Attempts, Be Stronger From 3-Point-land Against Seton Hall

As noted, the series and technical Trends strongly favor Butler here (8-1 ATS), but the emotional and bounceback and need-the-win factors also favor the Bulldogs, who may have to start worry about Bubble talk or not making the Big Dance should they lose anymore. Don’t fret. This is a solid team as wins over Indiana and then-#1 Villanova proved. Does anyone remember last week anymore these crazy days? I guess last week was last year, so slack shall be cut. Even though Seton Hall is 5-2 ATS the L7 Road games and 4-1 ATS vs the Big East Conference so far this 2017 NCAA Basketball Regular Season, the Pirates are just 2-6 ATS their L8 Saturday dribbles and find themselves in what seems like a tough spot here in the Hoosier State on Saturday.

Final score prediction - Butler 87 Seton Hall 73

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