2015 NCAA Basketball Tournament Picks: Tackling the Outright Winners' Market

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, March 11, 2015 6:41 PM GMT

We look at the outright NCAA Basketball Odds to win outright and how all the teams stack up for the highly anticipated 68-strong competition set to kick off in less than a week. And we offer some tips on how to make your value basketball picks.

NCAA Basketball ODDS To Win Outright
Basketball bettors can find 2015 NCAA Basketball Tournament odds for almost the entire 68-strong team. Bet365 is currently opened trading on 52 teams (See Table 2) with others available upon request. We've collated all the odds into the table below for handy viewing.

What is immediately obvious is Kentucky at +110 have the market practically cornered. They are head and shoulders above the rest of the competition, with only Wisconsin their nearest, triple-digit threat at +700. Duke (at +1000) to SMU (+8000) make up the viable contenders for the competition while from Butler (+10000) to Albany NY (+40000) mark the domain of the long shots.

TEAMS

ODDS TO WIN OUTRIGHT

TEAMS

ODDS TO WIN OUTRIGHT

Kentucky

+110

Dayton

+15000

Wisconsin

+700

Texas

+15000

Duke

+1000

VCU

+15000

Virginia

+1000

Iowa 

+15000

Arizona

+1000

Oaklahoma St.

+20000

Gonzaga

+1600

Indiana

+20000

Villanova

+1600

Connecticut

+20000

Kansas

+2200

San Diego St.

+20000

Utah

+3300

Miami Fla

+20000

North Carolina

+3300

Georgia

+20000

Iowa St.

+4000

Providence

+20000

Louisville

+4000

Purdue

+20000

Notre Dame

+4000

BYU

+20000

Ohio St.

+5000

Cincinnati

+20000

Wichita St.

+5000

Oregon

+20000

Maryland

+5000

Davidson

+20000

Baylor

+6000

Stanford

+25000

Northern Iowa

+6600

Texas AM

+25000

Michigan St.

+6600

UCLA

+25000

Oaklahoma

+6600

Murray St.

+25000

LSU

+8000

Harvard

+30000

SMU

+8000

Yale

+30000

Butler

+10000

St. Johns

+30000

Arkansas

+10000

Illinois

+30000

West Virginia

+10000

Florida

+40000

Georgetown

+12500

Albany NY

+40000

 

Approaching Your NCAA Basketball Picks
Last year, Warren Buffet brazenly offered a prize of $1 billion to successfully predict the 2014 NCAA Tournament. Needless to say, nobody claimed the prize.

The odds of predicting the 68-strong field correctly are slim to none. For those not up to scratch on their maths, it's 1 in 9.2 quintillion (kindly calculated by a DePaul University maths professor). Is it any wonder, Buffet was unfazed when making his offer. Or for that matter, why it's fondly called March Madness by industry experts.

If you are keen to get in on the action, fortunately making money on the 2015 NCAA Basketball Tournament doesn't require a perfect bracket. Merely, some good sports picks along the way are required and you should be in good stead.

 

Tackling the Outright Win Market
Everybody loves a good Cinderella story but, typically, the belles that go to this highly anticipated ball are amongst the pre-tournament favourites. If the basketball odds were any indication, Kentucky are the most likely to be crowned champions when all is said and done. In fact, they are attracting approximately 30% of early money coming down the wire.

Needless to say, in a single-elimination tournament to determine the national champion of men's NCAA Division I College basketball anything can happen. In the early rounds, a few Cinderella's may creep through so, there is some money to be had by backing an upset or two on your NCAA Basketball Picks in the early rounds. The deeper the tournament goes, the favourites have the edge for good reason: an established betting trend of success.

If you're looking for potential value picks look no further than the teams amongst the top favourites on the basketball betting board. Teams such as Wisconsin, Arizona and Duke, for instance. Consensus betting shows this triplet is attracting decent money (11%)  at online sports betting shops.

Needless to say, simply being amongst the top favourites points to their value. They are not the top pick of the pile, but they are teams that have quality and depth and could potentially hit a rich vein of form in the competition. Where they have a slight advantage is they might not feel as much pressure as Kentucky will to underscore their favouritism. It's worth noting, last year seventh seed Connecticut Huskies emerged champions. As they did in 2011, when they started as the third seed in the competition.

Lagging behind the aforementioned triplet are Virginia, Villanova and Gonzaga with consensus bets ranging from 7-to-5% respectively. Every team afterwards is collecting no more than 2% of public money in NCAA betting markets.

NCAA Basketball Betting Verdict: Lots of teams strike an attractive pose on the 2015 NCAA Tournament odds board, but smart bettors shouldn't be distracted by figures when looking at NCAA Basketball Odds. Those keen to place their basketball picks for the tournament winner should stray no further than the top few. From seasoned bettors, and experts to neutrals alike, there is a conspicuous leaning towards Kentucky. It's hard to argue on that score and, more likely than not, they'll emerge champions. Those looking to fade the public and shade an alternative, surprise pick might want to consider one of these three NCAA Basketball picks: Wisconsin, Duke and Arizona.