WNBA Picks: Tulsa Shock vs. Indiana Fever

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, July 15, 2015 1:53 PM GMT

Don't look now but the Fever have been on a roll, winning three straight games. Will they make it four in a row with a win (as the WNBA odds-on favorites) over Tulsa tonight?

Odds Overview
If we take a glance at the basketball odds for tonight's game, we see a split. Some sportsbooks have a line of three points (with Indiana favored) while others have the spread at three and a half.

We should be seeing a pretty fast-paced game in this one, and that notion is backed up by a high total of 160 on the board. The Fever and Shock are ranked second and third in the WNBA in points scored per game this season.

 

Indiana Fever
Arguably the hottest team in the WNBA? That would be the Fever, who have reeled off a four-game winning streak to climb out of the basement in the Eastern Conference. They're now 7-6 overall through their first 13 games of the regular season, this after finishing with the same 16-18 record over the past two seasons.

There's no doubt Indiana has looked great recently, however. The Fever have logged wins over Connecticut, Washington, Seattle and San Antonio, with the most recent coming against the Stars (83-76) five days ago. Marissa Coleman led the charge, pouring in 25 points on 9-of-16 shooting while also chipping in with six rebounds. Tamika Catchings, Shenise Johnson and Lynette Kizer all scored in double figures too in the win over San Antonio.

Next up on the hit list is Tulsa, who the Fever have yet to take on early on this season. The Fever will keep relying on the team ethos that's carried them in high regard in recent weeks; they have three players averaging in double figures, but there's no one member that's carrying the load. Let's see if that balance can help Indiana overcome the Shock.

This handicapper also previews tonight's LA Sparks vs. Seattle Storm

Tulsa Shock
Things got bad there for a little while when the Shock lost three in a row over a couple weeks ago, but they've responded postively, securing successive wins over Atlanta (85-75) and Los Angeles (82-67). 

In the most recent win over the Sparks, Tulsa locked in defensively and held LA to under 40 percent shooting. On the other end of the floor, the Shock got a few standout performances, but Karima Christmas stole the show. She finished with 24 points and five boards, with Odyssey Sims coming up big with 14 points, five rebounds, six assists and two steals off the bench.

If you've been following the Shock, you know Skylar Diggins was injured after nine games and will miss the rest of the regular season. Tulsa has also been without Sims, but she's now back in the fold, and that's a huge boost for the squad. Sims has averaged 16.5 points, 5.0 assists and 4.3 rebounds a contest for the Shock in four gamesin 2015.

 

WNBA Pick
We're going against the recent trends by backing the Shock as underdogs on the WNBA odds board this evening.

Yes, the Fever have won four straight and will have the added benefit of having home-court advantage, but we haven't been too impressed with their strength of schedule during the run. They may not find it to be such a walk in the park when the Shock come into town, as they've been playing good basketball too.

Having earned two solid, double-digit wins over the Dream and the Sparks, Tulsa should be high on confidence at the moment, especially now that Sims is ready to go again, and we think there's value here. The Shock have a very good chance of winning straight up and we don't mind a small wager there, but we'll gladly jump on the ATS line and back the road team as three-point dogs with our WNBA picks

WNBA Pick: Tulsa Shock +3 at BetOnline