WNBA Picks: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, July 14, 2015 11:49 AM GMT

Tuesday, Jul. 14, 2015 11:49 AM GMT

Even though the Sun are on top of the Western Conference, they're expected to fall short against the Lynx tonight. Find out why inside as we break down the available WNBA odds.

Odds Overview
It's pretty telling to see the WNBA odds as they are for tonight. The Sun have been playing well overall this season, but they've hit a snag lately and now they have to come up against one of the best teams in the entire league.

It doesn't matter that Connecticut is at home in this spot. Odds makers have the Lynx favored by seven points on the road, where they've won four of six games this season. Meanwhile, the O/U is listed at 146 points heading in, with the two teams ranked fifth and sixth respectively in terms of scoring offense.

 

Connecticut Sun
After a red-hot start saw them go 7-1 through their first eight games, the Sun have regressed as expected; coming into tonight's contest, Connecticut has now lost three in a row to drop to 7-4 on the season.

Included in the losing streak are setbacks versus Chicago (twice) and Indiana, with the latest defeat coming by 20 points on the road. In that 96-76 loss, the Sun simply couldn't stop the Sky from enforcing their will offensively throughout. Cappie Pondexter scored 29 points and Chicago shot 56.7 percent overall and an even 50.0 percent from three, with Connecticut no match whatsoever.

If the Sun are to bounce back tonight, they're going to need solid play out of the likes of Alex Bentley, Kelsey Bone and Alyssa Thomas, all of whom have averaged in double figures for the team this season. Bentley leads all scorers with 16.8 points per game, but bone (15.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG) has been terrific too. Who will it be that steps up this evening?

 

Minnesota Lynx
A couple nights after losing a tough one to Chicago, the Lynx bounced back with a dominant effort in a 66-49 win over the Stars. Priced out as favorites again, Minnesota came out locked in and never looked back. 

After jumping out to a 20-6 lead following the first quarter, the Lynx kept the pressure high on their way to the 17-point victory. The Lynx shot 41.1 percent from the floor and held San Antonio to just 29.0 percent shooting, with Maya Moore and Seimone Augustus leading the charge from an individual perspective. Moore had 20 points, nine rebounds, three assists and two steals (with just one turnover), while Augustus finished with 12 points on 6-of-10 shooting in 19 minutes. 

Needless to say, with only one Minnesota starter playing more than 22 minutes (Moore), this is a team that should still be well-rested as they search for their second straight win. The Lynx are in a dead heat with the Shock in the Western Conference right now, so a win would go a long way.

 

WNBA Pick
Once again we're inclined to agree with the odds. We know the records look similar on the surface, but the Lynx are the much more dangerous team overall (on both ends of the court), and we expect that balance to shine through on Tuesday night.

Not only have the Sun been struggling majorly over the past couple of weeks, they've failed to get the job done on a consistent basis when it comes to rebounding and sharing the basketball. They rank 11th in both categories so far this season, whereas the Lynx are near the top in every major stat.

So, as we get set to finalize our WNBA picks for Tuesday, we've opted to take on more chalk and back the better team in Minnesota. Moore should come out and the set tone early and often in leading the Lynx to the ATS cover.

WNBA Pick: Minnesota Lynx -7 at 5Dimes

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