WNBA Picks Against the Spread: Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm

Steven Suarez

Sunday, July 5, 2015 3:54 PM GMT

Neither the Dream or Storm have found much success early on this season, but one team will secure a victory this afternoon. Who are we going to be siding with when finalizing our WNBA picks?

Seattle vs. Atlanta WNBA Odds Overview
Though the sportsbooks differ on what kind of line they're making available, they're all in agreement that the Dream are the firm favorites on the WNBA odds board. As of now, Atlanta is favored by either seven or seven and a half points depending on where you're looking, so if you're thinking the Dream are the right side, you should jump on Bookmaker's line of seven.

The O/U is currently trading at 146.5, as neither team has been all that efficient offensively thus far this season. Both squads are ranked eighth or below in terms of points scored per contest.

 

Atlanta Dream
The Dream check in at 4-6 for the season, a disappointing record so far for a team that went 19-15 last season. They were able to avoid a third straight loss their last time out, as they topped Washington 72-69 at home.

Angel McCoughtry, who has been the standout star for the team throughout the season, was at it again versus the Mystics. She finished with 18 points, seven rebounds, three assists and three steals in 32 minutes of action, which more than made up for her seven turnovers. Matee Ajavon came up big with 17 points, four boards and four dimes of her own, and Sancho Lyttle was very productive as well; she ended up with 12 points, 10 rebounds, five steals, two assists and a block in a stat-stuffing performance.

With averages of 20.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists, it's clear that McCoughtry is going to be at the forefront of everything Atlanta does this season. The Dream will also get a boost with the likely return of Tiffany Hayes, who returns to the team after competing in the 2015 European Games.

 

Seattle Storm
Shortly after a rare five-point win over Tulsa, the Storm were quickly brought back to reality after getting blown out of the water by Minnesota. The Storm were actually hanging around in the first half (down by just one), but they totally collapsed after the break, getting outscored 48-24 over the second half.

There wasn't much Seattle did right in the blowout loss. The Storm's leading scorers were Crystal Langhorne and Sue Bird, but they only notched 10 points apiece. As a team, Seattle shot 38.7 percent overall, 27.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.0 percent (4-of-5) from the charity stripe.

Things were a mess offensively for the Storm, which has become a common theme in 2015. They're scoring just 68.6 points per game, which is the lowest mark in the entire WNBA, and they've been the league's worst rebounding team as well. With that being said, we haven't shyed away from fading this Seattle squad until they've shown they've turned things around.

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WNBA Betting Verdict
We don't particularly trust either one of these teams, but we're going to put our confidence in the home team.

For one, three of Atlanta's four wins this season have come at home, where they've been much more competitive this season. Plus, the Dream just picked up much-needed victory over Washington, so they should be high on confidence heading into this showdown with the Storm. Meanwhile, Seattle just got thumped by Minnesota, so they could be feeling down on their luck.

With McCoughtry playing lights out basketball and leading the charge, and a key contributor in Hayes returning, we look for Atlanta to come out and set the tone, leading to a win by at least seven points on their own court.

WNBA Pick: Atlanta Dream -7 at Bet365