Wizards vs. Hawks to Go 'Under' the Total in Game 2 for Tuesday's NBA Picks

Charles Stark

Tuesday, May 5, 2015 11:47 AM GMT

After a tremendously fast pace I am looking for both the Atlanta Hawks and Washington Wizards to get back down to their averages in this game two in the Eastern Conference Playoffs.  Because of this I am taking under the total for this contest as my NBA play of the day.

Out of control
These two teams really picked up the pace in their first matchup but I don’t anticipate them to keep up this torrid pace.  Both teams combined for 189 field goal attempts, way above their yearly average combination of 165.  From beyond the arc they combined for 63 attempts, as well, way above their normal average of 44 attempts.  Even with all the up and down and up tempo the game neither team shot particularly well with the Wizards shooting about 42% from the field and the Hawks shooting around 39%.  I think both teams recognize this and they will try to focus more on quality shots compared to quantity.  Especially the Hawks, who being the home team should control the tempo.

NBA odds makers have come out with this line at 197.5, to me this number reflects more of the pace we should see as compared to the pace we just saw.

If you're looking for more betting options don't miss our picks on the totals & ATS

Back to what got you there
Defensively on the year both teams have been excellent, but last game it looked to me it was more about shots not falling than great defensive pressure.  After looking at some tape I think both these teams will make the right adjustments to limit open looks.  On the year Washington was ranked 2nd in the NBA in opponent field goal percentage at 43.2% and Atlanta was ranked 6th at 43.8%.  In this game two I am anticipating both teams to slow down the tempo just a bit to get more quality looks.  At the same time though I am predicting both teams to play tough defense and continue to keep the shooting percentages on both ends low.  This leads me to make the under the total my NBA picks of the day and I recommend you add it to your plays today.

NBA Pick: Wizards & Hawks to go under at Pinnacle.

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