Wizards vs. Hawks Game 2 NBA Picks: Look to the Over/Under for Value

Ross Benjamin

Monday, May 4, 2015 6:25 PM UTC

Monday, May. 4, 2015 6:25 PM UTC

Our NBA consultant provides us with a betting preview article for Game 2 of the Elite Eight series between Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday.

Hawks look to even Series versus Wizards in Game 2
The Atlanta Hawks will host the Washington Wizards on Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. According to the NBA odds at Pinnacle, Atlanta is a 6.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 197.5.

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Game 1 Recap
The Wizards hold a 1-0 series lead by virtue of a 104-98 win at Atlanta on Sunday. Washington covered as a 5.5 point underdog, and the game went over the total of 202.0. Despite the game going over the number, both teams combined to shoot only 39.7% from the field. However, there were a plethora of three-point attempts in the contest with Atlanta going 13-for-38 from long distance, and the Wizards 9-for-25. The pace of the game was extremely fast. Washington had 91 field goal attempts in Game 1, and Atlanta had 98. You would be hard pressed to find numbers like that in a game that even went overtime. Finally, there wasn’t a ton of free throws, but the teams combined to go a stellar 30-for-36 (83.3%) from the charity stripe.


Key Playoff Betting Stats for both Teams
The Washington Wizards have gone over the total in the last four, and seven of their previous eight games.

*The Wizards have converted on a sizzling 42.6% of their three-point attempts in their five playoff games.

*Washington is averaging 27 free throw attempts per game during the playoffs, and that’s considerably higher than their season average of 22.

*The Atlanta Hawks are averaging an extremely high 32 three-point attempts per game during these playoffs, and that’s exceedingly more than their season average of 27.

*Atlanta is converting on an outstanding 38% of their three-point attempts at home this season.


NBA Totals Angle
The Washington Wizards have scored 104-points or more in each of their previous four games, and average 99.1 points per game scored this season. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing an average of 97.1 points per game. The combination of this statistical data qualifies for a successful totals angle which has aced the test of time, and I’ll take advantage of that valuable handicapping algorithm when making my NBA picks on Tuesday.

Any team (Washington) that’s playing in the second half of the season with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, and they average 98 or more points scored per game, versus an opponent which allows an average of 92 to 98 points per game, resulted in that team going 63-27 (70.7%) over the total since 1996.

NBA Picks: Play on Washington and Atlanta to go over the total of 197.5 at Pinnacle.

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