Each day LT Profits Sports seeks an overlay side that has a better chance of cashing than its spread, offering long term value. Here is their Side Value Play for Tuesday.
There is a real chance that the wrong team is favored in one of the NBA contests Tuesday night when the Washington Wizards (2-1, 1-1 away) pay a visit to the New York Knicks (2-1, 1-1 home) at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY at 7:35 ET in a game available on MSG.
The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Washington as a tiny road underdog for this contest with the current line at +1 with odds of -105.
Both Teams Won Two Straight
Both teams enter this contest riding two-game winning streaks following opening night losses. The Wizards opened up with a defeat vs. a Heat team determined to prove it can win without LeBron James in Miami before then beating the Orlando Magic on the road and then winning their home opener rather handily 108-97 over the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday while shooting a blistering 54.8 percent from the field.
Speaking of LeBron, the Knicks pulled one of the biggest early NBA pick upsets of the season when they went into Cleveland and beat the Cavaliers 95-90 to ruin his homecoming, a win made more shocking by how terrible New York looked in a 104-80 opening loss here at MSG the previous night. The Knicks then improved to 2-1 by edging another offensively challenged club in the Charlotte Hornets 96-93 here on Sunday.
Still Averaging Just 90.3 Points
Despite the two wins, the Knicks are still averaging just 90.3 points per game and the 96 points vs. the Hornets was a season high. Part of the problem is that the Knicks are still trying to get comfortable with the triangle offense, a scheme favored by new Knick team president Phil Jackson during his Hall of Fame coaching career and the main reason why he brought in Derek Fisher, who was his point guard with the Lakers, as the new head coach.
There is another reason why the Knicks are 27th in the NBA in scoring after three games though despite boasting one of the top scorers in the league in Carmelo Anthony, and that is because Anthony is getting practically zero offensive support. And frankly that is not a surprise considering that besides Anthony, the rest of the starting five right now is comprised of Quincy Acy, Samuel Dalembert, Shane Larkin and Iman Shumpert!
None of those players exactly strike fear into the hearts of opposing defenses, and of that motley crew, Shumpert is the only one averaging in double-digits though three games, and just barely so at 10.7 points per game.
Good Road Team
The Wizards do not have the same offensive struggles that the Knicks have as they are averaging 102.7 points per game thanks to ranking second in the NBA in field goal percentage at an outstanding 50.4 percent. In fact the worst shooting performance for Washington through three games was the 48.0 percent it shot in the loss in Miami, a percentage that would probably still be good enough to win this game rather handily.
Remember also that the Wizards snapped a long playoff drought last season and even knocked off the Bulls in five games in the first round while winning three games in Chicago. And one of the reasons Washington made its playoff run, in fact finishing as the sixth seed in the East, was its play on the road, as the Wizards’ nice 22-19 road record was actually identical to their 22-19 home mark!
Swept Season Series Last Year
As part of that road success, the Wizards won the last two meetings with the Knicks here in New York last season, completing a three-game season series sweep that began with a nine-point win back home in DC.
Look for that Washington road success to continue here as it pays another visit to the Big Apple to take on the Knicks on Tuesday.
NBA Pick: Wizards +1 (-105)