Will Playoff Push Fuel Hornets in D.C. vs The Wizards?

Tuesday, April 4, 2017 4:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 4, 2017 4:55 PM UTC

The Charlotte Hornets are more dangerous than their record looks. They just might be the right basketball pick for Tuesday’s game against the Washington Wizards.

<h2 style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/charlotte-hornets-vs-washington-wizards-3068017/" title="Live Odds For This Game">Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards</a></h2><p style="text-align:left;">If it wasn’t for bad luck, the Charlotte Hornets wouldn’t have no luck at all. They’ve played some decent basketball this year, but it hasn’t translated to winning; the Hornets are on the wrong side of the Eastern Conference playoff bubble at 36-41 SU and 35-39-3 ATS. Charlotte is a full game behind the eighth-place Miami Heat with just five games left to go. And one of those games is Tuesday night (7:00 p.m. ET) against the Washington Wizards, in Washington. Yikes.<br /><br />Then again, maybe it’s not so bad. The Wizards (46-31 SU, 39-37-1 ATS) have already clinched the Southeast Division, and they may have taken their foot off the gas pedal just a bit, dropping three straight games SU and ATS. The Hornets won their last three in a row, also SU and ATS. Are they the right choice as 4-point road dogs on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/">NBA odds board</a>?<br /> </p><h2 style="text-align:left;"><strong>The Blue Hornets</strong></h2><p style="text-align:left;">Not according to the usual gang of hoop nerds. FiveThirtyEight projects the Wiz as 6-point favorites, and there aren’t any fresh injuries for either team spoiling those projections. As for Washington’s three-game losing streak, it was at the end of a five-game road swing, and the teams who beat them were the Los Angeles Clippers (–6), Utah Jazz (–2.5) and Golden State Warriors (–9.5).<br /><br />The Hornets would figure to have betting value in just about any situation. They’ve posted a plus-1.0 point differential, but they’ve also had some incredible misfortune, going 0-9 in games decided by three points or fewer. The good kind of regression should be on its way. Meanwhile, the Wizards have a plus-1.9 point differential on the season, so you give them a reasonable 2.6 points for home-court advantage, and you get Washington –3.5, right? That’s just science.<br /> </p><table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"> <tbody> <tr> <td><img alt src="https://cdn2.geckoandfly.com/wp-content/uploads/2006/12/i_hate_math_will_make_you_mad11.jpg" style="height:178px;width:380px;" /></td> </tr> </tbody></table><p style="text-align:left;">Well, if we look at the Simple Rating System over at Basketball Reference, they’ve got Washington (+1.46 SRS) less than a point per game better than Charlotte (+0.70 SRS). So let’s call it a wash with the stats and lean on the early consensus numbers, which are 96-percent in favor of the Wiz. If the sharps want Washington in their <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/">NBA picks</a>, so do we.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>Free NBA Pick:</strong> Wizards –4 (–108)<br /><strong>Best Line Available:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4981&amp;book=Betmania" rel="nofollow" title="To Rated Sportsbook">at </a><a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4981&amp;book=Betmania" rel="nofollow" title="To Rated Sportsbook">Betmania</a></p><p style="text-align:left;">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3068017, "sportsbooksIds":[1252,123,180,19,93], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]</p>
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