Will Lonzo Ball’s Summer League Success Translate to Lakers in Regular Season?

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, July 19, 2017 4:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 19, 2017 4:19 PM UTC

Despite not playing in every game, including the Summer League finals, as well as posting a few duds along the way, Lonzo Ball was named the MVP of the Summer League. What might that mean for the Lakers this coming season?

I’m no person who overvalues Summer League performances, but with the way the media hyped up Lonzo Ball's shoes and play, it’s both troubling and exciting for Lakers fans. Expectations for this young man are growing by the day, but was his performance in the Summer League worthy of upgrading the Lakers any next season ATS?


Lakers 2016-17 ATS Record: 37-43-2

For a team without a lot of expectations last season, the Lakers were still a team to fade ATS at SBR's top-rated sportsbooks. However, they have gone through some notable upgrades this offseason. Not only did they draft Ball, but they traded D’Angelo Russell to the Nets for Brook Lopez and they signed Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to a one-year deal. Will the Lakers be a playoff team in the West like LaVar Ball predicts?

That’s another story. In the East, they might get home-court advantage in the first round, but in the West they are still, if just barely, a lottery team. However, that means that if the sportsbooks or the betting public still undervalues them, they could be a huge boom ATS.

Don't go racing to bet the Lakers every game next season. For one, the West is stacked with talented and more experienced teams that will limit their upside. Second, the Lakers are traditionally one of the most overvalued teams in the league when it comes to NBA betting. Much like the Knicks and Bulls, these teams get a little more love from the betting public regardless, so don’t get your hopes up that the Lakers will lead the league ATS.


Lakers Can’t Win ATS

Dating back to 2003, the Lakers have had approximately three winning ATS seasons. They haven’t had a winning ATS season in almost 10 years, and since 2003 they have only covered 46.9 percent of their games. If it weren't for their two title runs with Pau Gasol and Kobe Bryant, they would be infinitely worse against the number.

Any of you remember when Dwight Howard came to the Lakers and everyone thought they were going to compete for a title? The expectations are not that high obviously, and the West is still very good, but something tells me Lakers bettors are going to overvalue this team next season like they always do.

Granted, I believe they are going to pull off some nice upsets next season. Julius Randle, Jordan Clarkson, Larry Nance Jr. and Brandon Ingram are all good young players who have a lot of potential, and plus I’d be remiss if I didn’t remind everyone that this team also has the steady veteran leadership and 12-15 points per game from Luol Deng.

While the Lakers likely won’t win anything other than another trip to the lottery, at least they got the Summer League title, right! However, I would be surprised if the Lakers were more than three or four games above .500 ATS all season. Game-by-game is another matter, but in the West I am more excited about teams like the Nuggets and Wolves being undervalued than I am the Lakers. 

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