Will Blake Griffin's Back Break Clippers Betting Odds?

David Lawrence

Wednesday, July 30, 2014 8:39 AM GMT

The news has come out of Los Angeles that Clipper forward Blake Griffin has a back fracture. Should those placing NBA picks on this team be concerned? Here are the details. 

This seems like devastating news on the surface, but it’s not cause for great alarm. It’s a reason for Clipper fans to be quietly concerned in advance of the season, but it’s not something that’s going to bring this franchise to its knees. 

 

What This Means For The Clippers
The thing to immediately mention about this back fracture is that it’s a very tiny one. It’s not something pervasive or which is threatening Griffin’s ability to play this upcoming season. Griffin is expected to make a full recovery for one thing, and what’s also part of this larger story is that he’s still been participating in light summer workouts. It’s not as though his body has been brought to a complete halt and that he’s immobilized. That’s not the case. He’s likely to be okay. The Clippers aren’t in what should be referred to as a dangerous position.

The concern from the Clippers is more of a long-term kind of worry, one that will hang over the team throughout this season and in the future. Griffin has been subjected to a lot of bumps and bruises. He is a player who draws and creates a lot of contact. He is likely to pick up more injuries as he goes along in his career. Therefore, any other injuries he suffers to other parts of his body might flow from the need to protect his back. His body might overcompensate in some areas and not compensate enough in others. This could set the tone for an up-and-down season in which Griffin ducks in and out of the lineup, preventing the Clippers from having the continuity they’ll need if they’re going to make the Western Conference Finals for the first time in the history of the franchise. In the short run, Griffin will be okay. It’s the grind of the 82-game season followed by the playoffs that should have Clipper fans and executives in an uneasy state. The Clippers will need Griffin to be at his very best throughout the playoff and for enough of the regular season that the team can get a top-three seed in the Western Conference, enough to get home-court advantage for at least one round if not two.

 

How To Bet The News
This is the kind of story that shouldn’t draw a lot of concern from a bettor in the near future. In the first few months of the season, this probably won’t register as a big deal at all.

As a matter of fact, this probably has the inverse reaction to how bettors will handle the news. My concern isn’t how his back will be in November to start the season. That should be fine. The concern is how it will hold up in April as the playoff grind begins. Don’t be so concerned with early season spreads. Rather, the bigger concern should be whether or not you trust his back to carry you (and your NBA pick) to the Championship for the 12/1 futures.