Who’s Healthy for Suns-Kings Matchup on Tuesday?

sacramento kings

Jason Lake

Monday, December 11, 2017 8:50 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 8:50 PM UTC

The Sacramento Kings opened as 4-point home faves on the NBA odds board for Tuesday’s game against the Phoenix Suns – despite a number of injuries on both sides.

Free NBA Pick: Suns +4Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings

It’s always fun when two of the worst teams in the NBA go head-to-head. It’s like watching Plan 9 from Outer Space. My friend, can your heart stand the shocking facts about the Phoenix Suns and the Sacramento Kings? They’re really, really bad, and they’re going to collide Tuesday night (10:00 ET) in Sacto. The Kings opened as 4-point home faves, which is interesting, because we don’t even know if two of their best players are going to be in the lineup.

The two players in this case are center Willie Cauley-Stein (plus-0.4 BPM) and point guard George Hill (minus-1.5 BPM). Both were held out of Sunday’s 102-87 loss to the Toronto Raptors, who covered as 8.5-point road faves – nailed it. Cauley-Stein has missed three games with a strained lower back, and Hill is away from the team tending to “personal matters,” which might be code for “is going to get traded next week.” Maybe we should just go ahead and recommend the Suns for your NBA picks already.

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That seems to suit our analytics department just fine. FiveThirtyEight projects the Kings (8-18 SU, 11-12-3 ATS) at –2.5, winning 59 percent of the time, and ESPN’s Basketball Power Index is even less optimistic about Sacramento’s chances at 56.0 percent. That still works out to –2.5 according to the NBA numbers at Wizard of Odds, but it’s not like these projections are supposed to be accurate to several decimal points.

Granted, the Suns (9-19 SU, 13-14-1 ATS) have injury problems of their own. SG Devin Booker, arguably their best player (plus-0.9 BPM), is out with a strained left adductor. But at least we know that Booker won’t play Tuesday. And Phoenix might have a new best player in center Greg Monroe (plus-2.7 BPM), who has played very well since coming over from the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eric Bledsoe trade. The Suns are 4-9 SU and 7-5-1 ATS since pulling off that deal.

So, yeah, we’ll hop on the Phoenix bandwagon while there’s still plenty of room on the NBA odds board. They’ve covered four of their last five games, and they’re ahead of the Kings in Pythagorean win expectation, going 7-21 to Sacto’s 5-21. They are on the verge of destroying the entire basketball universe. We are a part of that universe. This is our last ...

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