Playoffs are starting and we're here to find the best NBA picks for your betting portfolio. We take a deeper look at the Spurs vs. Grizzlies game and see where the true value lies.
Prior to the tip off of the 2015-16 NBA playoffs, we at NBA picks wanted to explore a few key postseason series trends in some of the first-round matchups. In this installment, we'll take a look at the Western Conference favorites: the Spurs vs. Grizzlies.
No. 7 Memphis Grizzlies vs No. 2 San Antonio Spurs
Like the Warriors, the Spurs are huge favorites to top the Grizzlies in the first round—in fact, even more so. Coach Gregg Popovich's men are -10000, or 1/100 chalk to take the series.
Memphis limped into the playoffs with its two best players out for the final 20 regular-season games; Mike Conley went down with an Achilles injury in early March, while Marc Gasol has been out since early February with a broken right foot. Sharing the hardwood for seven seasons now, the Grizz are just 5-18 SU (10-13 ATS) when the two both fail to suit up for a contest in their careers. They slumped to a 5-15 (10-10 ATS) record this season, losing by 8 points per game to close out.
In recent years, the No. 7 seed has barely made a whimper in the postseason. The Mavericks six-game triumph over San Antonio in the 2009-10 first-round series is the only upset since 2002. No. 2 seeds have been more dominate then the No. 1 in this round, too, winning 17 of the last 26 matchups in five games or less.
Compiling a 40-1 (22-18-1 ATS) record at AT&T Center this year, the Spurs fell to Golden State 92-86 with two games left in the regular season, failing to become the only team in league history to go undefeated at home. They shouldn't have any problems against the Grizzlies in San Antonio. Behind the lowly Lakers and Suns, Memphis' -11.8 points differential as a road dog was the third lowest in the NBA. The team fell to the number by an average of 4.3 points, going 9-14 against the NBA odds.
Bettors will likely be looking at double-digit spreads, making plays against the number tough to stomach if on the chalk. Keep your eye out for any series props that may appear, and maybe take a gamble for a 4-0 sweep, if available. Make sure the price is right, though.