In much more detail, we covered the Eastern Conference ATS teams to watch for a week ago. Now it's the West's turn. are obviously months away from the start of the season, but with the draft over and free agency winding down, we know what these teams will look like on paper.
Teams like the Warriors, Thunder, Rockets and Spurs will surely be somewhere in the top four of the Western Conference next NBA season. But by looking at some of the future odds for 2017-18 and past records, these teams below could go overlooked by SBR's top sportsbooks, thus creating positive value ATS next year in the West.
Denver has historically been a pretty good bet ATS, and last year was no exception. The Nuggets finished 46-36 ATS, but I think their offseason is being shifted to look negative, when it was actually quite positive.
The loss of Danilo Gallinari does hurt, but if I told you the Nuggets could trade Gallinari for Paul Millsap, you’d accept that trade 10 times out of 10. Plus, this opens up more minutes for Wilson Chandler and Will Barton, who are very strong players in their own right. Pairing Millsap with Nikola Jokic is huge for this team. Millsap gets to once again play with an inside-out big man, giving him room to operate in the post or facing up 15 to 20 feet from the basket.
Along with another year of growth from Gary Harris, a possible trade of Kenneth Faried to bring in more guard depth, the potential of Jamal Murray or Emmanuel Mudiay to grab hold of the starting point guard job, and Denver has some of the most upside of any West team outside the top four or five.
New Orleans Pelicans
The pairing of DeMarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis didn’t work too well last season. However, after re-signing Jrue Holiday if the Pelicans can figure out a rotation for those three guys, this team has a lot of potential ATS.
They were over-hyped strongly after the trade of Cousins last year. Post-All-Star break, the Pelicans were going strong ATS, but when it was obvious they weren’t going to make the playoffs after a big deadline move they shut things down and finished 3-8 ATS in their final 11 games.
That barely moved them under .500 for the year ATS, but in a death division including the Rockets and Spurs, the Pelicans are surely going to be overlooked by the betting public, as well as the sportsbooks potentially. I’ll be watching them closely in the preseason and early in the season to see if my speculation is correct.
Say what you want about the Cousins trade by the Kings, but ever since then a lightbulb has seemingly gone off in GM Vlade Divac’s head. He is running the Kings like a first-rate organization. Their draft was fantastic and their free agency has been even better.
With a talented group of young players both new and returning, the Kings added Zach Randolph, George Hill and Vince Carter. I can’t think of three veterans better to help this organization get out of the gutter and start to play hard every night.
With those three leading guys like De’Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield and Skal Labissiere, this team is surely going to be better than last year and the Kings may even surprise the crap out of several Western Conference teams. Are they a playoff team? No. They would be in the East, but for now they are going to beat up on a lot of East teams next season.
Considering the betting public likely hasn’t even caught on to the fact that the Sixers will be a playoff team in the East, I doubt they will have much confidence in the Kings out West. However, both teams are far from the laughingstocks of the league anymore. With something to prove, don’t count out Sacramento as a team that could be a strong bet ATS next season.Bet On 2017-18 NBA Futures At SBR's Top Sportsbooks