Weekly Betting Edge: Lean on Celtics with Updated Series Price

David Schwab

Monday, May 14, 2018 2:59 PM UTC

Monday, May. 14, 2018 2:59 PM UTC

When a best-of-seven NBA playoff series can hinge on the result of just one game, betting on that series comes down to timing as well as finding the best value in the updated odds.

With some help from Bovada as one of the top online sportsbooks for betting on this year’s NBA playoffs, let's look at the updated series price odds for the Eastern Conference Finals following Boston’s stunning 108-83 victory on Sunday in Game 1 as a 1.5-point home underdog.

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The @celtics protect home court and win Game 1!

BOS defeats @cavs 108-83 to take a 1-0 ECF series lead!

Jaylen Brown: 23 PTS
Morris: 21 PTS, 10 REB
Horford: 20 PTS. 6 AST
Jayson Tatum: 16 PTS, 6 REB
Terry Rozier: 8 PTS, 8 AST#CUsRise #NBAPlayoffs

LBJ: 15 PTS, 9 AST, 7 REB pic.twitter.com/eGAZlGTt5D

— NBA (@NBA) May 13, 2018
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Cavaliers' Playoff Run

Cleveland started the playoffs as a heavy -650 favorite to get past Indiana in the opening round. That series took some serious twists and turns before the Cavaliers eliminated the Pacers with a tight 105-101 victory in Game 7 as 5.5-point favorites at home.

The Cavs faced the No. 1-seeded Toronto Raptors in the conference semifinals as +180 underdogs on the initial series price. Following their 113-112 victory in the series opener as seven-point road underdogs, they became -140 favorites on the updated series price. Once Cleveland pulled off the unexpected two-game sweep as a road underdog, the series price odds jumped to -850 in their favor. Two games later, it had pulled off the impressive four-game sweep against the best team in the East.

Celtics' Playoff Run

The Celtics went 55-27 in the regular season to earn the No. 2 seed in the East, but the minute star player Kyrie Irving went down with a season-ending knee injury, the Boston bandwagon had all the room in the world.

They started the playoffs against Milwaukee as -170 favorites on the series price. That series went the distance with Boston getting past the Bucks 112-96 in Game 7 as five-point home favorites. Next up were the upstart Philadelphia 76ers, who had just made short work of Miami in a 4-1 series victory in the opening round. The Celtics started this best-of-seven Atlantic Division clash as +325 underdogs on the series price against the No. 3 Sixers.

Game 1 was all Boston in a 117-101 victory as a five-point underdog at home and the updated series price had the Celtics as +170 underdogs. After building the 2-0 series lead, they were now set as -125 favorites to win and they did in five games.

Cleveland vs. Boston Series Price Odds

The oddsmakers continued to be enamored with Cleveland and the dominant play of LeBron James when they set the series price odds for this matchup, even though Boston still had home-court advantage. The opening betting odds had the Cavaliers listed as -270 favorites with the moneyline odds on Boston winning this series set at +230.

Following Sunday’s win by Boston in Game 1, the updated series price odds have each team listed at -110 odds to win. When it comes to finding the best value in these adjusted odds, it all depends on what side of the fence you are on.

James has played some of the best ball in his career this postseason with an average of 32.7 points through 12 playoff games. He has shown the ability to carry the Cavaliers when he has to, and he has also shown the ability to get the most out of his supporting cast.

Boston has been able to defy the odds so far without Irving in the lineup. The Celtics have shown scoring depth with four different players averaging at least 17 points per game, and they have one of the top defenses in the NBA when it comes to points allowed.

The main reason I believe the best value lies with Boston at -110 is this team’s ability to take care of business on its home court. It is a perfect 8-0 both straight-up and against the spread at home in this year’s playoffs.

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